Expert analysis

Köln Eyes Points Against Struggling Hamburg

Hamburger SV arrives after three straight defeats and has failed to score in every recent match. Their back line has leaked goals at a high rate, creating repeated openings for opponents. 1. FC Köln maintains a steadier record with wins and draws that keep them competitive on the road. Köln also reaches the net in all their games so far, avoiding the blank sheets that plague Hamburg. Past meetings between the clubs show a narrow split, yet the current form gap tilts the balance away from a home win. Hamburg’s lack of attacking threat at home further reduces their chance of taking all three points.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

Result

2–1 MISSED

Our pick “Draw or Köln” at odds 1.44 didn’t land — final score 2–1.

Match timeline

First half
Albert Grönbaek 10'
Nicolás Capaldo assist Albert Grönbaek 44'
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Terem Moffi 45'
Second half
Yussuf Poulsen assist Albert Grönbaek 49'
Gideon Mensah 54'
Borna Sosa ↓ Gideon Mensah 64'
Ragnar Ache ↓ Thijs Dallinga 64'
Patson Daka ↓ Albert Grönbaek 67'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson ↓ Alessio Castro-Montes 67'
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson 77'
Bakery Jatta ↓ Zakaria El Ouahdi 77'
Louis Pepe Lemke ↓ David Moller Wolfe 77'
Marius Bülter ↓ Linton Maina 81'
Luca Waldschmidt ↓ Tom Krauß 81'
Ellyes Skhiri 84'
Ragnar Ache assist Ellyes Skhiri 90'
Martin Adeline ↓ Albert Sambi Lokonga 90'

This season

	Hamburger SV	1. FC Köln
Over 2.5 goals	67%	67%
Clean sheet	0%	0%
Failed to score	100%	0%
Scored per game	0.0	1.7
Conceded per game	4.0	2.3
Scored home / away	0.0 / 0.0	2.0 / 1.0

Across 3 and 3 matches played this season.

League table position

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Pts
11	FCS FC Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	4
12	FCK 1. FC Köln ▲	3	1	1	1	4
13	HOF 1899 Hoffenheim	3	1	0	2	3
14	VFB VfB Stuttgart	3	1	0	2	3
15	SCP SC Paderborn 07	3	0	1	2	1
16	UNI Union Berlin	3	0	1	2	1
17	BOR Borussia Mönchengladbach	3	0	0	3	0
18	HAM Hamburger SV ▲	3	0	0	3	0

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Hamburger SV WWLLL

W @ Toulouse 2–1 Aug 15

W @ Verl 3–0 Aug 24

L @ Borussia Dortmund 0–2 Aug 29

L vs FSV Mainz 05 0–5 Sep 6

L @ RB Leipzig 0–5 Sep 13

1. FC Köln WWWLD

W vs Real Sociedad 2–1 Aug 8

W @ Würzburger Kickers 2–1 Aug 24

W vs 1899 Hoffenheim 3–2 Aug 29

L @ VfB Stuttgart 1–4 Sep 4

D vs Werder Bremen 1–1 Sep 12

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Hamburger SV

Scored 1.0 avg

2 3 0 0 0

Conceded 2.6 avg

1 0 2 5 5

1. FC Köln

Scored 1.8 avg

2 2 3 1 1

Conceded 1.8 avg

1 1 2 4 1

Head-to-head · last meetings

4 Hamburger SV

3 Draws

3 1. FC Köln

Mar 2026 Hamburger SV 1–1 1. FC Köln Draw

Nov 2025 1. FC Köln 4–1 Hamburger SV 1. FC Köln

Jan 2025 Hamburger SV 1–0 1. FC Köln Hamburger SV

Aug 2024 1. FC Köln 1–2 Hamburger SV Hamburger SV

Jan 2023 1. FC Köln 4–0 Hamburger SV 1. FC Köln

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1

1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
17 W. Omari D
23 J. Torunarigha D
24 N. Capaldo D
7 Z. El Ouahdi M
6 A. Sambi Lokonga M
21 N. Remberg M
3 D. Møller Wolfe M
20 Fábio Vieira M
11 A. Grønbæk M
9 T. Moffi F

Bench Otto Emerson Stange, S. Tangvik, M. Adeline, P. Daka, B. Jatta, L. Lemke, B. Nadir, S. Nandja, Y. Poulsen

M. Polzin

1. FC Köln 4-2-3-1

1 M. Schwäbe G
17 A. Castro-Montes D
22 Jahmai Simpson-Pusey D
24 L. Lochoshvili D
14 G. Mensah D
6 E. Skhiri M
5 T. Krauß M
37 L. Maina M
47 M. Moore M
10 S. El Mala M
27 T. Dallinga F

Bench M. Bülter, Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson, J. Schmied, S. Sebulonsen, B. Sosa, J. Thielmann, L. Waldschmidt, R. Zieler, R. Ache

René Wagner

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Hamburger SV

OUT S. Bornauw Muscle Injury
OUT A. Rossing-Lelesiit Ankle Injury
OUT M. Vuskovic Doping
OUT S. Bornauw Muscle Injury
OUT A. Rossing-Lelesiit Ankle Injury
OUT M. Vuskovic Doping

1. FC Köln

OUT T. Hubers Knee Injury
OUT T. Hubers Knee Injury