Bundesliga (Germany) WON 0–5
Sun, Sep 6 · 15:30 · Volksparkstadion
Hamburger SV Home
VS
FSV Mainz 05 Away
Hamburger SV vs FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence High
Odds 1.22 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Goals Expected in Hamburg Mainz Encounter

Hamburger SV enter this fixture after a loss, which often leads teams to push forward more aggressively at home. FSV Mainz 05 arrive on the back of a draw and have kept clean sheets, yet their away record shows vulnerability in creating chances. Past meetings between the two clubs have produced multiple goals in the majority of cases. Injuries to defensive players on both sides, including Muheim and Nebel, may reduce midfield stability and allow more scoring opportunities. Average goals in recent games indicate both teams can contribute to the scoreline despite current blanks. Tactical setups in Bundesliga matches like this frequently result in open encounters rather than tight defensive battles.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.2% win rate
Result
0–5 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.22 won — final score 0–5.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Sheraldo Becker assist Kaishu Sano 19'
  3. Anthony Caci 31'
  4. Zakaria El Ouahdi 36'
  5. Phillipp Mwene assist Sheraldo Becker 41'
  6. Fábio Vieira ↓ Bilal Nadir 45'
  7. Patson Daka ↓ Martin Adeline 45'
  8. Shafiq Nandja ↓ Jordan Torunarigha 45'
  9. Second half
  10. Phillip Tietz assist Sheraldo Becker 48'
  11. Otto Emerson Stange ↓ Terem Moffi 64'
  12. Ransford Konigsdorffer ↓ Sheraldo Becker 68'
  13. Danny da Costa ↓ Anthony Caci 81'
  14. Phillip Tietz assist Lee Jae-Sung 83'
  15. Louis Pepe Lemke ↓ David Moller Wolfe 84'
  16. Phillipp Mwene 85'
  17. Lennard Maloney ↓ Kaishu Sano 88'
  18. Otto Ruoppi ↓ Lee Jae-Sung 88'
  19. Rael Nakuzola ↓ Stefan Posch 88'
  20. Ransford Konigsdorffer assist Phillipp Mwene 90+1'
  21. Sheraldo Becker 90+2'
This season
Hamburger SV FSV Mainz 05
Over 2.5 goals — —
Clean sheet 0% 100%
Failed to score 100% 100%
Scored per game 0.0 0.0
Conceded per game 2.0 0.0
Scored home / away 0.0 / 0.0 0.0 / 0.0

Across 1 and 1 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
10 UNI Union Berlin 1 0 1 0 1
11 FSV FSV Mainz 05 ▲ 1 0 1 0 1
12 SCP SC Paderborn 07 1 0 1 0 1
13 HOF 1899 Hoffenheim 1 0 0 1 0
14 BAY Bayer Leverkusen 1 0 0 1 0
15 HAM Hamburger SV ▲ 1 0 0 1 0
16 WER Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 0
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Hamburger SV LDWWL
L vs Everton 1–2 Aug 1
D vs Lille 2–2 Aug 8
W @ Toulouse 2–1 Aug 15
W @ Verl 3–0 Aug 24
L @ Borussia Dortmund 0–2 Aug 29
FSV Mainz 05 DWWWD
D @ Udinese 3–3 Aug 1
W vs Paris FC 4–0 Aug 8
W vs Bournemouth 2–1 Aug 15
W @ Krieschow 9–0 Aug 23
D vs SC Paderborn 07 0–0 Aug 29
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Hamburger SV
Scored 1.6 avg
1 2 2 3 0
Conceded 1.4 avg
2 2 1 0 2
FSV Mainz 05
Scored 3.6 avg
3 4 2 9 0
Conceded 0.8 avg
3 0 1 0 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Hamburger SV
4 Draws
3 FSV Mainz 05
Feb 2026 FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV Draw
Oct 2025 Hamburger SV 4–0 FSV Mainz 05 Hamburger SV
Mar 2018 Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05 Draw
Oct 2017 FSV Mainz 05 3–2 Hamburger SV FSV Mainz 05
May 2017 Hamburger SV 0–0 FSV Mainz 05 Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Hamburger SV 3-4-2-1
  • 1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
  • 24 N. Capaldo D
  • 33 S. Bornauw D
  • 23 J. Torunarigha D
  • 7 Z. El Ouahdi M
  • 4 B. Nadir M
  • 21 N. Remberg M
  • 3 D. Møller Wolfe M
  • 5 M. Adeline M
  • 11 A. Grønbæk M
  • 9 T. Moffi F
Bench Kofi Jeremy Amoako, P. Daka, B. Jatta, L. Lemke, S. Nandja, Y. Poulsen, Otto Emerson Stange, S. Tangvik, Fábio Vieira

M. Polzin

FSV Mainz 05 3-5-2
  • 1 A. Schwolow G
  • 4 S. Posch D
  • 3 F. Gruber D
  • 48 K. Potulski D
  • 19 A. Caci M
  • 7 Lee Jae-Sung M
  • 6 K. Sano M
  • 10 N. Amiri M
  • 2 P. Mwene M
  • 9 P. Tietz F
  • 23 S. Becker F
Bench D. da Costa, B. Hollerbach, S. Kawasaki, M. Kinzig, R. Königsdörffer, L. Maloney, R. Nakuzola, O. Ruoppi, S. Bell

U. Fischer

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Hamburger SV
  • OUT W. Omari Personal Reasons
  • OUT A. Rossing-Lelesiit Ankle Injury
  • DOUBT M. Muheim Muscle Injury
  • OUT W. Omari Personal Reasons
  • OUT A. Rossing-Lelesiit Ankle Injury
  • DOUBT M. Muheim Muscle Injury
FSV Mainz 05
  • OUT D. Kohr Foot Injury
  • OUT E. Martel Knee Injury
  • OUT P. Nebel Muscle Injury
  • OUT Silas Broken shinbone
  • DOUBT B. Hollerbach Lacking Match Fitness
  • OUT D. Kohr Foot Injury
  • OUT E. Martel Knee Injury
  • OUT P. Nebel Muscle Injury
  • OUT Silas Broken shinbone
  • DOUBT B. Hollerbach Lacking Match Fitness