Liga Profesional Argentina WON 0–3
Mon, Aug 31 · 00:15
Independiente Home
VS
Gimnasia M. Away
Independiente vs Gimnasia M. — Liga Profesional Argentina
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.22 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate77%
This price needs82%
Expert analysis

Independiente and Gimnasia Set for Low-Scoring Encounter

Independiente’s season shows few games breaking into high goal counts with their attack and defense both staying measured. Gimnasia M. carries a similar profile where matches stay contained especially on the road. Past meetings between the sides have produced just one instance of three or more goals. Both sides record low rates of games exceeding two and a half goals across the campaign. Their current sequences feature stretches of draws and narrow results that limit open play. This setup favors a controlled contest where the total rarely climbs past three goals.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.8% win rate
Result
0–3 WON

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.22 won — final score 0–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. L. Cingolani 12'
  3. L. Godoy 38'
  4. E. Fernandez assist F. Lencioni 42'
  5. Second half
  6. F. Lencioni assist E. Fernandez 53'
  7. M. Abaldo ↓ J. Palais 59'
  8. C. Avila ↓ M. Gutierrez 59'
  9. F. Lencioni assist E. Fernandez 60'
  10. B. Andrada ↓ E. Fernandez 63'
  11. M. Vargas ↓ L. Cingolani 63'
  12. I. Sabatini ↓ A. Modica 65'
  13. M. Meza ↓ L. Millan 77'
  14. J. Fedorco ↓ L. Godoy 77'
  15. N. Barboza ↓ F. Antonini 79'
  16. S. Rodriguez ↓ T. O'Connor 79'
  17. R. Martino ↓ F. Zabala 87'
This season
Independiente Gimnasia M.
Over 2.5 goals 13% 14%
Clean sheet 30% 27%
Failed to score 17% 32%
Scored per game 1.3 1.0
Conceded per game 1.1 1.2
Scored home / away 1.5 / 1.3 1.4 / 0.7

Across 23 and 22 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 INS Instituto Cordoba 6 4 1 1 13
3 GIM Gimnasia M. ▲ 6 4 0 2 12
4 DEF Defensa Y Justicia 6 3 2 1 11
5 IND Independiente ▲ 6 3 1 2 10
6 UNI Union Santa Fe 7 3 1 3 10
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Independiente LLLWD
L @ Velez Sarsfield 0–1 Aug 3
L vs Platense 0–1 Aug 9
L @ Atletico Tucuman 0–4 Aug 12
W @ Lanus 3–1 Aug 17
D vs Independ. Rivadavia 0–0 Aug 22
Gimnasia M. LWLWW
L @ San Lorenzo 0–1 Jul 28
W vs Union Santa Fe 2–0 Aug 1
L @ Instituto Cordoba 0–1 Aug 9
W vs Talleres Cordoba 3–1 Aug 18
W @ Gimnasia L.P. 3–2 Aug 22
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Independiente
Scored 0.6 avg
0 0 0 3 0
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 1 4 1 0
Gimnasia M.
Scored 1.6 avg
0 2 0 3 3
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 0 1 1 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
1 Independiente
1 Draws
0 Gimnasia M.
Feb 2026 Gimnasia M. 1–1 Independiente Draw
Jun 2025 Gimnasia M. 1–2 Independiente Independiente

Over 2.5 goals in 1 of the last 2 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Independiente 4-1-4-1
  • 33 Rodrigo Rey G
  • 29 Leonardo Godoy D
  • 26 Kevin Lomónaco D
  • 35 Juan Miguel Arrayago D
  • 22 Facundo Zabala D
  • 23 Iván Marcone M
  • 7 Santiago Montiel M
  • 14 Lautaro Millán M
  • 28 Maximiliano Gutiérrez M
  • 24 Josias Palais M
  • 34 Felipe Tempone F
Bench Santiago Mele, Ramiro Martino, Joshua Velárdez, Juan Fedorco, Franco Calderón, Mateo Perez Curci, David Martínez, Maxi Meza, Facundo Cruz, Matías Abaldo, Luciano Cabral, Chimy Ávila

Jadson Viera

Gimnasia M. 4-3-3
  • 23 Cesar Rigamonti G
  • 32 Luciano Paredes D
  • 2 Diego Mondino D
  • 4 Ezequiel Muñoz D
  • 3 Matias Recalde D
  • 28 Tomás O'Connor M
  • 21 Fermin Antonini M
  • 26 Facundo Lencioni M
  • 7 Luciano Cingolani F
  • 9 Agustín Modica F
  • 30 Esteban Fernández F
Bench Lautaro Petruchi, Ismael Cortez, Germán Guiffrey, Lautaro Carrera, Ulises Sánchez, Brian Andrada, Nahuel Barboza, Julian Ceballos, Ignacio Sabatini, Matías Vargas, Valentino Simoni, Santiago Rodríguez

Ariel Broggi