Ligue 1 MISSED 0–1
Sat, Sep 5 · 17:15 · Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens Home
VS
FC Lorient Away
Lens vs Lorient — Ligue 1
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.20 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate82%
This price needs83%
Expert analysis

Over 1.5 Goals the value call in Lens vs Lorient

Our statistical model makes Over 1.5 Goals the standout selection for Lens against Lorient in the Ligue 1. The numbers put this outcome at roughly 87%, noticeably above what the bookmaker price implies once the margin is stripped out. Season scoring rates project around 2.0 goals for Lens and 1.4 for Lorient here. When the model and the market disagree by this much, the model side of the argument is the one we back.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.6% win rate
Result
0–1 MISSED

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.20 didn’t land — final score 0–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Nathaniel Adjei 14'
  3. Souleymane Sagnan ↓ Matthieu Udol 24'
  4. Yassine Titraoui 26'
  5. Second half
  6. Mamadou Kone assist Panos Katseris 54'
  7. Andrija Bulatović ↓ Yassine Titraoui 60'
  8. Michaël Cuisance ↓ Amadou Haidara 61'
  9. Arthur Avom ↓ Noah Mbamba 67'
  10. Ibrahima Balde ↓ Mamadou Kone 67'
  11. Théo Le Bris ↓ Panos Katseris 67'
  12. Odsonne Édouard ↓ Thorgan Hazard 70'
  13. Florian Sotoca ↓ Ruben Aguilar 70'
  14. Isak Jensen ↓ Gabin Bernardeau 75'
  15. Michał Skóraś 77'
  16. Souleymane Sagnan 85'
This season
Lens Lorient
Over 2.5 goals 50% 0%
Clean sheet 0% 50%
Failed to score 0% 50%
Scored per game 3.0 0.5
Conceded per game 2.0 1.0
Scored home / away 5.0 / 1.0 1.0 / 0.0

Across 2 and 2 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
6 EST Estac Troyes 2 1 1 0 4
7 LEN Lens ▲ 2 1 0 1 3
8 MAR Marseille 2 1 0 1 3
9 ANG Angers 2 1 0 1 3
10 STR Strasbourg 2 1 0 1 3
11 STA Stade Brestois 29 2 0 2 0 2
12 PAR Paris Saint Germain 3 0 2 1 2
13 LEM Le Mans 2 0 1 1 1
14 LOR Lorient ▲ 2 0 1 1 1
15 LEH Le Havre 2 0 1 1 1
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Lens WLWWL
W vs Villarreal 3–1 Aug 1
L vs Sunderland 0–2 Aug 8
W vs Paris Saint Germain 1–0 Aug 16
W vs Auxerre 5–2 Aug 22
L @ Strasbourg 1–2 Aug 29
Lorient WLLDL
W vs UNFP 5–1 Aug 4
L @ Angers 1–2 Aug 8
L @ SV Elversberg 1–4 Aug 15
D @ Nice 0–0 Aug 22
L vs Estac Troyes 1–2 Aug 29
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Lens
Scored 2.0 avg
3 0 1 5 1
Conceded 1.4 avg
1 2 0 2 2
Lorient
Scored 1.6 avg
5 1 1 0 1
Conceded 1.8 avg
1 2 4 0 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Lens
3 Draws
2 FC Lorient
Mar 2026 Lorient 2–1 Lens Lorient
Nov 2025 Lens 3–0 Lorient Lens
May 2024 Lens 2–0 Lorient Lens
Nov 2023 Lorient 0–0 Lens Draw
May 2023 Lorient 1–3 Lens Lens

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Lens 3-4-2-1
  • 40 R. Risser G
  • 2 R. Aguilar D
  • 25 I. Ganiou D
  • 32 K. Antonio D
  • 22 M. Skóraś M
  • 8 Y. Titraoui M
  • 21 A. Haidara M
  • 14 M. Udol M
  • 10 F. Thauvin M
  • 9 T. Hazard M
  • 19 A. Sima F
Bench A. Bulatović, Mezian Mesloub, S. Sagnan, F. Sotoca, O. Édouard, F. Ivanović, J. Gradit, M. Gorgelin, M. Cuisance

D. Toppmöller

Lorient 3-4-2-1
  • 38 Y. Mvogo G
  • 20 D. Sylla D
  • 3 M. Talbi D
  • 32 N. Adjei D
  • 42 Mamadou Kone M
  • 72 N. Mbamba M
  • 8 N. Cadiou M
  • 43 K. Kouassi M
  • 33 G. Bernardeau M
  • 17 J. Makengo M
  • 77 P. Katseris F
Bench T. Le Bris, B. Kamara, A. Georgen, S. Faye, I. Baldé, A. Avom, A. Tosin, N. Obaretin, I. Jensen

A. Dujeux

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Lens
  • OUT S. Abdulhamid Contusion
  • OUT S. Baidoo Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Chavez Thigh Injury
  • OUT M. Nawrocki Injury
  • OUT S. Abdulhamid Contusion
  • OUT S. Baidoo Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Chavez Thigh Injury
  • OUT M. Nawrocki Injury
FC Lorient
  • OUT B. Fadiga Injury
  • OUT B. Fadiga Injury