Ligue 1 MISSED 2–0
Sun, Sep 13 · 15:00 · Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Lille Home
VS
Estac Troyes Away
Lille vs Estac Troyes — Ligue 1
Tipster's pick Over 2.5 Goals
Value Good · 3/5
Odds 1.73 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate59%
This price needs58%
Expert analysis

Open Play Expected Between Lille and Troyes

Lille have averaged two goals per home game this season while keeping a solid defensive record that limits opponents. Troyes have shown they can score on the road but concede heavily away from home, creating space for end-to-end action. Their recent form includes mixed results that suggest neither side dominates possession tightly. Head-to-head meetings have produced several high-tempo games where both teams traded chances regularly. Lille’s attacking output at home aligns with Troyes’ tendency to push forward even when struggling defensively. This setup favors periods of open play rather than cagey exchanges.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
2–0 MISSED

Our pick “Over 2.5 Goals” at odds 1.73 didn’t land — final score 2–0.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Tiago Santos assist Dilane Bakwa 18'
  3. Noah Donkor ↓ Lucas Maronnier 45'
  4. Second half
  5. Maurits Kjaergaard ↓ Hákon Arnar Haraldsson 61'
  6. Gaëtan Perrin ↓ Basar Onal 71'
  7. Ethan Mbappe ↓ Dilane Bakwa 71'
  8. Olivier Giroud ↓ Ayase Ueda 71'
  9. Timothee Nkada ↓ Kandet Diawara 75'
  10. Iron Gomis ↓ Mouhamed Diop 75'
  11. Renaud Ripart ↓ Hugo Picard 80'
  12. Yacouba Koné ↓ Antoine Mille 80'
  13. Olivier Giroud 82'
  14. Benjamin André ↓ Ngal'ayel Mukau 86'
  15. Ethan Mbappe assist Maurits Kjaergaard 90+3'
This season
Lille Estac Troyes
Over 2.5 goals 0% 0%
Clean sheet 67% 33%
Failed to score 0% 33%
Scored per game 1.7 1.3
Conceded per game 0.7 2.3
Scored home / away 2.0 / 1.5 1.0 / 2.0

Across 3 and 3 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
3 LYO Lyon 3 2 1 0 7
4 LIL Lille ▲ 3 2 1 0 7
5 REN Rennes 3 2 1 0 7
6 STR Strasbourg 3 2 0 1 6
7 STA Stade Brestois 29 3 1 2 0 5
8 LOR Lorient 3 1 1 1 4
9 EST Estac Troyes ▲ 3 1 1 1 4
10 MAR Marseille 3 1 0 2 3
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Lille DWDWL
D @ Everton 1–1 Aug 15
W @ Angers 2–0 Aug 23
D vs Paris Saint Germain 2–2 Aug 28
W @ Toulouse 1–0 Sep 3
L vs Real Betis 2–3 Sep 8
Estac Troyes DDDWL
D @ Auxerre 1–1 Aug 8
D vs Panetolikos 1–1 Aug 14
D vs Paris FC 0–0 Aug 22
W @ Lorient 2–1 Aug 29
L vs Strasbourg 2–6 Sep 6
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Lille
Scored 1.6 avg
1 2 2 1 2
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 0 2 0 3
Estac Troyes
Scored 1.2 avg
1 1 0 2 2
Conceded 1.8 avg
1 1 0 1 6
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Lille
3 Draws
3 Estac Troyes
Jun 2023 Estac Troyes 1–1 Lille Draw
Jan 2023 Lille 5–1 Estac Troyes Lille
Jan 2023 Lille 2–0 Estac Troyes Lille
May 2022 Estac Troyes 3–0 Lille Estac Troyes
Dec 2021 Lille 2–1 Estac Troyes Lille

Over 2.5 goals in 6 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Lille 4-2-3-1
  • 1 B. Özer G
  • 22 Tiago Santos D
  • 3 N. Ngoy D
  • 4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D
  • 15 R. Perraud D
  • 17 N. Mukau M
  • 6 N. Bentaleb M
  • 7 D. Bakwa M
  • 10 H. Haraldsson M
  • 19 B. Önal M
  • 18 A. Ueda F
Bench B. André, O. Gill, O. Giroud, M. Kjærgaard, E. Mbappé, T. Nianzou, G. Perrin, O. Sahraoui, C. Verdonk

Davide Ancelotti

Estac Troyes 4-2-3-1
  • 33 P. Beach G
  • 2 L. Maronnier D
  • 6 A. Monfray D
  • 4 M. Diaz D
  • 3 A. Ouzenadji D
  • 17 A. Mille M
  • 8 M. Diop M
  • 7 K. Diawara M
  • 29 D. Karim M
  • 22 H. Picard M
  • 9 J. Le Douaron F
Bench I. Soukouna, Enisio Carneiro, Noah Donkor, I. Gomis, H. Konaté, Y. Kone, T. Nkada, R. Ripart, Lassana Simakha

S. Dumont

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Lille
  • OUT H. Igamane Knee Injury
  • OUT H. Igamane Knee Injury
Estac Troyes
  • OUT I. Boura Injury
  • OUT P. Gozzi Muscle Injury
  • OUT M. Ifnaoui Injury
  • OUT A. Phliponeau Knee Injury
  • OUT Y. Titi Injury
  • OUT I. Boura Injury
  • OUT P. Gozzi Muscle Injury
  • OUT M. Ifnaoui Injury
  • OUT A. Phliponeau Knee Injury
  • OUT Y. Titi Injury