Major League Soccer WON 3–3
Sun, Aug 30 · 02:30 · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC Home
VS
Orlando City SC Away
Minnesota United FC vs Orlando City SC — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick M. United or Draw
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.22 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate78%
This price needs82%
Expert analysis

Minnesota Home Edge Limits Orlando Options

Minnesota United show a mixed but improving recent run with several wins in their last stretch of games. Their defense concedes fewer goals on average than Orlando City allow, especially when playing at home where they limit opponents effectively. Orlando’s away scoring sits around their season mark but their overall defensive record looks weaker with higher goals conceded per match. Head to head meetings have seen Minnesota secure three victories against Orlando’s four, keeping results close enough for a draw to remain possible. Orlando’s form includes more losses lately while Minnesota’s pattern suggests they rarely lose at their own ground. These factors point to Minnesota holding their own without defeat in this matchup.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.8% win rate
Result
3–3 WON

Our pick “M. United or Draw” at odds 1.22 won — final score 3–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. D. Dike 28'
  3. A. Markanich 32'
  4. Second half
  5. A. Smir ↓ D. Callender 46'
  6. A. Griezmann 54'
  7. H. Sarajian ↓ D. Dike 59'
  8. Luis Otavio ↓ J. Gerbet 59'
  9. A. Griezmann assist J. Ellis 64'
  10. M. Boxall 66'
  11. M. Caldeira assist K. Yeboah 72'
  12. N. Triantis ↓ M. Caldeira 73'
  13. M. Gonzalez ↓ W. Trapp 73'
  14. T. Spicer ↓ J. Ellis 74'
  15. A. Markanich assist J. Pereyra 74'
  16. K. Yeboah 76'
  17. M. Ojeda ↓ Z. Taifi 81'
  18. M. Pasalic ↓ E. Atuesta 81'
  19. T. Chancalay ↓ K. Yeboah 85'
  20. M. Pasalic 90+2'
  21. C. Harvey ↓ J. Pereyra 90+2'
  22. T. Spicer assist A. Griezmann 90+3'
This season
Minnesota United FC Orlando City SC
Over 2.5 goals 10% 19%
Clean sheet 24% 10%
Failed to score 24% 24%
Scored per game 1.3 1.6
Conceded per game 1.4 2.4
Scored home / away 0.8 / 1.7 1.7 / 1.5

Across 21 and 21 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
9 POR Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 28
10 MIN Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 28
11 SAN San Diego 21 7 6 8 27
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Minnesota United FC DWDLW
D @ Tigres UANL 0–0 Aug 8
W vs Atlante FC 3–1 Aug 12
D @ Real Salt Lake 1–1 Aug 16
L vs Atlanta United FC 1–2 Aug 20
W @ San Jose Earthquakes 5–1 Aug 23
Orlando City SC LDDLW
L vs Leon 1–2 Aug 8
D vs Atletico San Luis 2–2 Aug 12
D vs FC Cincinnati 1–1 Aug 15
L vs Chicago Fire 1–2 Aug 19
W vs Real Salt Lake 2–1 Aug 22
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Minnesota United FC
Scored 2.0 avg
0 3 1 1 5
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 1 1 2 1
Orlando City SC
Scored 1.4 avg
1 2 1 1 2
Conceded 1.6 avg
2 2 1 2 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Minnesota United FC
1 Draws
4 Orlando City SC
Mar 2024 Orlando City SC 2–3 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
Apr 2023 Minnesota United FC 1–2 Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
Feb 2023 Orlando City SC 2–0 Minnesota United FC Orlando City SC
Apr 2021 Orlando City SC 3–2 Minnesota United FC Orlando City SC
Aug 2020 Orlando City SC 3–1 Minnesota United FC Orlando City SC

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 8 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Minnesota United FC 4-4-2
  • 12 Drake Callender G
  • 28 Jefferson Díaz D
  • 15 Michael Boxall D
  • 23 Morris Duggan D
  • 13 Anthony Markanich D
  • 3 Kyle Duncan M
  • 30 Owen Gene M
  • 20 Wil Trapp M
  • 26 Joaquín Pereyra M
  • 9 Kelvin Yeboah F
  • 22 Marcus Caldeira F
Bench Alec Smir, Nicolás Romero, Devin Padelford, Carlos Harvey, Aziel Jackson, Nectarios Triantis, Mauricio González, Tomás Chancalay, Mamadou Dieng

Cameron Knowles

Orlando City SC 4-4-2
  • 71 Maxime Crépeau G
  • 24 Griffin Dorsey D
  • 4 David Brekalo D
  • 6 Robin Jansson D
  • 19 Zakaria Taifi D
  • 22 Justin Ellis M
  • 20 Eduard Atuesta M
  • 35 Joran Gerbet M
  • 77 Iván Angulo M
  • 9 Daryl Dike F
  • 7 Antoine Griezmann F
Bench Javier Otero, Iago Silva, Wilder Cartagena, Harvey Sarajian, Marco Pašalić, Luis Otávio, Martín Ojeda, Tyrese Spicer, Tiago Souza

Oscar Pareja

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Minnesota United FC
  • OUT B. Hlongwane Knee Injury
  • OUT P. Stroud Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT K. Chandler Knee Injury
  • DOUBT N. Romero Lower-Body Injury
  • OUT B. Hlongwane Knee Injury
  • OUT P. Stroud Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT K. Chandler Knee Injury
  • DOUBT N. Romero Lower-Body Injury
Orlando City SC
  • OUT B. Ojeda Foot Injury
  • OUT M. Ojeda Thigh Injury
  • OUT B. Rhein Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT A. Gomez Thigh Injury
  • OUT B. Ojeda Foot Injury
  • OUT M. Ojeda Thigh Injury
  • OUT B. Rhein Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT A. Gomez Thigh Injury