Major League Soccer MISSED 3–2
Sat, Oct 17 · 22:30 · Allianz Field
Minnesota United FC Home
VS
St. Louis City Away
Minnesota United FC vs St. Louis City — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Confidence Low
Odds 1.62 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Minnesota United Host St Louis in Low Scoring Tilt

St Louis City enter after five straight wins and with the best defensive record in the league at just 1.0 goals conceded per game. Minnesota United sit 14th after four defeats and one draw in their last five outings. At home Minnesota score 1.1 goals a game and concede 1.3 while St Louis average 1.4 goals scored and conceded on the road. Three or more goals have occurred in 18 of Minnesota’s 28 games and 16 of St Louis City’s 28. Head to head fixtures have gone over 2.5 goals in seven of the past eight meetings. The outcome may turn on whether St Louis can break down Minnesota’s home defense at Allianz Field.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate
Result
3–2 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.62 didn’t land — final score 3–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Rafael Navarro Leal 4'
  3. Sang-bin Jung assist Rafael Navarro Leal 10'
  4. Aziel Jackson 24'
  5. Miguel Perez 26'
  6. Daniel Edelman ↓ Dante Polvara 45'
  7. Rafael Santos ↓ Tomas Totland 45'
  8. Second half
  9. Aziel Jackson assist Kelvin Yeboah 49'
  10. Sang-bin Jung 51'
  11. Kelvin Yeboah assist Mauricio González Carabalí 68'
  12. Lukas MacNaughton ↓ Sang-bin Jung 69'
  13. Damion Downs ↓ Simon Becher 69'
  14. Marcus Caldeira ↓ Mauricio González Carabalí 70'
  15. Joaquín Pereyra ↓ Aziel Jackson 79'
  16. Tomas Ostrak ↓ Mykhi Joyner 82'
  17. Marcus Caldeira assist Joaquín Pereyra 86'
  18. Jefferson Abel Díaz Beleño 90'
  19. Michael Boxall ↓ Cherrion Valerius 90+2'
  20. Tomás Chancalay ↓ Kelvin Yeboah 90+2'
This season
Minnesota United FC St. Louis City
Over 2.5 goals 64% 57%
Clean sheet 18% 14%
Failed to score 18% 14%
Scored per game 1.5 1.9
Conceded per game 1.8 1.4
Scored home / away 1.1 / 1.9 2.4 / 1.4

Across 28 and 28 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 VAN Vancouver Whitecaps 28 15 6 7 51
2 STL St. Louis City ▲ 28 14 8 6 50
3 FCD FC Dallas 28 13 8 7 47
4 SAN San Jose Earthquakes 28 13 7 8 46
5 HOU Houston Dynamo 28 13 6 9 45
6 LOS Los Angeles FC 29 11 9 9 42
7 SEA Seattle Sounders 28 11 8 9 41
8 COL Colorado Rapids 28 11 4 13 37
9 LOS Los Angeles Galaxy 29 9 9 11 36
10 POR Portland Timbers 28 9 6 13 33
11 REA Real Salt Lake 28 9 5 14 32
12 SAN San Diego 28 8 8 12 32
13 AUS Austin 28 7 10 11 31
14 MIN Minnesota United FC ▲ 28 7 9 12 30
15 SPO Sporting Kansas City 28 6 4 18 22
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Minnesota United FC LLLLD
L vs FC Dallas 1–2 Sep 10
L @ St. Louis City 2–4 Sep 13
L vs Los Angeles Galaxy 2–3 Sep 20
L @ Seattle Sounders 1–3 Sep 27
D vs Houston Dynamo 2–2 Oct 11
St. Louis City WWWWW
W vs Minnesota United FC 4–2 Sep 13
W @ Colorado Rapids 3–0 Sep 17
W vs Toronto FC 3–1 Sep 20
W @ New York Red Bulls 3–0 Sep 30
W vs Los Angeles Galaxy 6–2 Oct 11
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Minnesota United FC
Scored 1.6 avg
1 2 2 1 2
Conceded 2.8 avg
2 4 3 3 2
St. Louis City
Scored 3.8 avg
4 3 3 3 6
Conceded 1.0 avg
2 0 1 0 2
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Minnesota United FC
0 Draws
2 St. Louis City
Sep 2026 St. Louis City 4–2 Minnesota United FC St. Louis City
Jul 2025 St. Louis City 1–2 Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
May 2025 Minnesota United FC 3–2 St. Louis City Minnesota United FC
May 2025 Minnesota United FC 3–0 St. Louis City Minnesota United FC
Oct 2024 Minnesota United FC 4–1 St. Louis City Minnesota United FC

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 8 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Minnesota United FC 3-4-1-2
  • 12 D. Callender G
  • 52 Cherrion Valerius D
  • 28 J. Díaz D
  • 23 M. Duggan D
  • 21 B. Hlongwane M
  • 25 N. Triantis M
  • 20 W. Trapp M
  • 13 A. Markanich M
  • 18 M. Gonzalez M
  • 16 A. Jackson F
  • 9 K. Yeboah F
Bench N. Romero, Kayne Rizvanovich, J. Pereyra, M. Malone, O. Gene, K. Duncan, T. Chancalay, Marcus Caldeira, M. Boxall

C. Knowles

St. Louis City 3-4-3
  • 1 R. Bürki G
  • 99 J. Orozco D
  • 32 T. Baumgartl D
  • 27 F. Fall D
  • 59 M. Joyner M
  • 21 D. Polvara M
  • 28 M. Perez M
  • 14 T. Totland M
  • 77 Jeong Sang-Bin F
  • 9 Rafael Navarro F
  • 11 S. Becher F
Bench Rafael Santos, C. Brunet, D. Downs, D. Edelman, C. Holse, B. Lundt, L. MacNaughton, A. Mățan, T. Ostrák

Y. Damet

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Minnesota United FC
  • OUT A. Markanich Concussion
  • OUT A. Smir Knee Injury
  • OUT P. Stroud Muscle Injury
  • OUT A. Markanich Concussion
  • OUT A. Smir Knee Injury
  • OUT P. Stroud Muscle Injury
St. Louis City
  • OUT Celio Pompeu Knee Injury
  • DOUBT C. Wallem Injury
  • OUT Celio Pompeu Knee Injury
  • DOUBT C. Wallem Injury