Major League Soccer PENDING
Sat, Sep 19 · 01:30 · Yankee Stadium
New York City FC Home
VS
New York Red Bulls Away
New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls — Major League Soccer
Tipster's pick Draw or New York Red Bulls
Value Good · 3/5
Odds 1.95 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate52%
This price needs51%
Expert analysis

Draw or New York Red Bulls the value call in New York City FC vs New York Red Bulls

Our statistical model makes Draw or New York Red Bulls the standout selection for New York City FC against New York Red Bulls in the Major League Soccer. The numbers put this outcome at roughly 50%, noticeably above what the bookmaker price implies once the margin is stripped out. Season scoring rates project around 1.9 goals for New York City FC and 1.4 for New York Red Bulls here. When the model and the market disagree by this much, the model side of the argument is the one we back.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
This season
New York City FC New York Red Bulls
Over 2.5 goals 20% 20%
Clean sheet 20% 12%
Failed to score 16% 28%
Scored per game 1.6 1.3
Conceded per game 1.3 1.9
Scored home / away 2.0 / 1.1 1.5 / 1.2

Across 25 and 25 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
7 PHI Philadelphia Union 25 9 6 10 33
8 NEW New York City FC ▲ 25 8 8 9 32
9 FCC FC Cincinnati 24 8 8 8 32
10 NEW New York Red Bulls ▲ 25 8 6 11 30
11 DCU DC United 24 6 11 7 29
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
New York City FC DDDLW
D @ New England Revolution 1–1 Aug 23
D @ Toronto FC 1–1 Aug 29
D vs Nashville SC 0–0 Sep 4
L vs New England Revolution 1–2 Sep 10
W @ Real Salt Lake 2–0 Sep 13
New York Red Bulls DLDLW
D vs Chicago Fire 1–1 Aug 22
L vs Philadelphia Union 1–3 Aug 29
D @ Seattle Sounders 0–0 Sep 6
L @ Los Angeles FC 0–2 Sep 10
W @ Columbus Crew 1–0 Sep 12
Goals trend · last 5 matches
New York City FC
Scored 1.0 avg
1 1 0 1 2
Conceded 0.8 avg
1 1 0 2 0
New York Red Bulls
Scored 0.6 avg
1 1 0 0 1
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 3 0 2 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 New York City FC
2 Draws
3 New York Red Bulls
May 2026 New York Red Bulls 1–1 New York City FC Draw
Apr 2026 New York Red Bulls 1–3 New York City FC New York City FC
Sep 2025 New York Red Bulls 2–3 New York City FC New York City FC
May 2025 New York City FC 2–0 New York Red Bulls New York City FC
Nov 2024 New York City FC 0–2 New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.