Premier League MISSED 0–1
Sat, Oct 17 · 18:30 · St James' Park
Newcastle Home
VS
Aston Villa Away
Newcastle vs Aston Villa — Premier League
Tipster's pick Newcastle or Draw
Confidence High
Odds 1.36 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Newcastle Can Avoid Defeat At Home To Villa

Newcastle average 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded in their home league games so far. Aston Villa manage only 1.0 goal scored per away match this season despite four wins in their last five overall. Newcastle have taken five wins from the last ten head-to-head meetings. Villa’s absences of Onana and Maatsen may reduce their threat on the break at St James’ Park. Both sides have produced three or more goals in most of their matches, yet Newcastle have kept a cleaner sheet in one of their six games. The contest could hinge on whether Villa can create enough away from home to break down a solid Newcastle back line.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
0–1 MISSED

Our pick “Newcastle or Draw” at odds 1.36 didn’t land — final score 0–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Joelinton 18'
  3. Sven Botman 18'
  4. João Gomes 25'
  5. Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha 28'
  6. Johan Manzambi assist João Gomes 36'
  7. John McGinn ↓ Alysson Edward Franco da Rocha 45'
  8. Second half
  9. Nico González 53'
  10. Yoane Wissa 55'
  11. Bazoumana Touré ↓ Matias Fernandez-Pardo 56'
  12. William Osula ↓ Joe Willock 56'
  13. Leon Goretzka ↓ Emiliano Buendía 72'
  14. Ross Barkley ↓ João Gomes 72'
  15. Ibrahim Mbaye ↓ Johan Manzambi 72'
  16. Pau Torres ↓ Aaron Wan-Bissaka 77'
  17. William Osula 78'
  18. Malick Thiaw 86'
  19. Dan Burn ↓ Joelinton 90'
This season
Newcastle Aston Villa
Over 2.5 goals 83% 67%
Clean sheet 17% 17%
Failed to score 0% 50%
Scored per game 1.7 1.0
Conceded per game 2.2 1.8
Scored home / away 2.0 / 1.3 1.0 / 1.0

Across 6 and 6 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
10 IPS Ipswich 6 3 0 3 9
11 NEW Newcastle ▲ 6 2 2 2 8
12 CRY Crystal Palace 6 2 1 3 7
13 MAN Manchester United 6 1 3 2 6
14 COV Coventry 6 2 0 4 6
15 NOT Nottingham Forest 6 1 2 3 5
16 AST Aston Villa ▲ 6 1 2 3 5
17 SUN Sunderland 6 1 1 4 4
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Newcastle DWLWL
D vs Bournemouth 2–2 Sep 5
W @ Millwall 1–0 Sep 8
L @ Leeds 1–4 Sep 14
W vs Hull City 2–1 Sep 19
L @ Coventry 1–4 Oct 12
Aston Villa WWWDW
W @ Coventry 3–1 Sep 16
W @ Tottenham 3–2 Sep 19
W @ Sevilla 3–1 Oct 2
D vs Brentford 2–2 Oct 10
W vs Fenerbahçe 6–0 Oct 14
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Newcastle
Scored 1.4 avg
2 1 1 2 1
Conceded 2.2 avg
2 0 4 1 4
Aston Villa
Scored 3.4 avg
3 3 3 2 6
Conceded 1.2 avg
1 2 1 2 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Newcastle
2 Draws
3 Aston Villa
Feb 2026 Aston Villa 1–3 Newcastle Newcastle
Jan 2026 Newcastle 0–2 Aston Villa Aston Villa
Aug 2025 Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle Draw
Apr 2025 Aston Villa 4–1 Newcastle Aston Villa
Dec 2024 Newcastle 3–0 Aston Villa Newcastle

Over 2.5 goals in 8 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Newcastle 4-2-3-1
  • 21 L. Horníček G
  • 67 L. Miley D
  • 12 M. Thiaw D
  • 4 S. Botman D
  • 3 L. Hall D
  • 6 Nico González M
  • 7 Joelinton M
  • 28 J. Willock M
  • 9 Y. Wissa M
  • 11 H. Barnes M
  • 20 M. Fernandez-Pardo F
Bench Sean Steur, B. Touré, W. Osula, J. Murphy, N. Pope, F. Schär, D. Burn, A. Dedić, A. Bamba

M. Jaissle

Aston Villa 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Z. Suzuki G
  • 2 M. Cash D
  • 3 V. Lindelöf D
  • 5 T. Mings D
  • 29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
  • 8 B. Kamara M
  • 35 João Gomes M
  • 47 Alysson Edward M
  • 10 E. Buendía M
  • 44 J. Manzambi M
  • 11 N. Jackson F
Bench T. Harwood-Bellis, Pau Torres, J. McGinn, R. Barkley, L. Bogarde, L. Goretzka, I. Mbaye, M. Bizot, Brian Madjo

Unai Emery

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Newcastle
  • OUT A. Elanga Knee Injury
  • OUT E. Jaouen Muscle Injury
  • OUT V. Livramento Injury
  • OUT J. Ramsey Thigh Injury
  • OUT A. Elanga Knee Injury
  • OUT E. Jaouen Muscle Injury
  • OUT V. Livramento Injury
  • OUT J. Ramsey Thigh Injury
Aston Villa
  • OUT I. Maatsen Ankle Injury
  • OUT A. Onana Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Ruggeri Injury
  • DOUBT M. Cisse Injury
  • DOUBT G. Hemmings Knee Injury
  • OUT I. Maatsen Ankle Injury
  • OUT A. Onana Knee Injury
  • OUT M. Ruggeri Injury
  • DOUBT M. Cisse Injury
  • DOUBT G. Hemmings Knee Injury