Serie A WON 1–2
Mon, Jul 27 · 00:30 · Nubank Parque
Palmeiras Home
VS 00:30
Atletico-MG Away
Palmeiras vs Atletico-MG — Serie A
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Confidence High · 4/5
Odds 1.30 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Defensive Records Point to Controlled Encounter

Palmeiras maintain a solid defensive structure with clean sheets in more than a third of their matches while rarely failing to score at home. Atletico-MG show limited attacking output on the road and often prioritize midfield control over expansive play. Historical meetings between the sides have featured a majority of games staying below high goal thresholds. Both teams record identical low rates for matches exceeding two and a half goals this season. Vitor Roque’s ankle injury further restricts Palmeiras forward options and reduces their chance of explosive scoring. Atletico-MG absences in defense and midfield add caution to their approach away from home. Recent sequences for each side reflect organized backlines that limit open games.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–2 WON +0.30u

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.30 won — final score 1–2.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 PAL Palmeiras 19 13 5 1 44
2 FLA Flamengo 18 11 4 3 37
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense 19 10 3 6 33
4 FLU Fluminense 19 9 5 5 32
5 RBB RB Bragantino 19 9 3 7 30
6 BAH Bahia 19 8 6 5 30
7 COR Corinthians 19 7 6 6 27
8 CRU Cruzeiro 19 7 6 6 27
9 BOT Botafogo 19 7 5 7 26
10 COR Coritiba 19 7 5 7 26
11 VIT Vitoria 19 7 5 7 26
12 SAO Sao Paulo 19 7 4 8 25
13 ATL Atletico-MG 19 7 4 8 25
14 INT Internacional 19 5 6 8 21
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Palmeiras LWWWW
L vs Cerro Porteno 0–1 May 21
W @ Flamengo 3–0 May 24
W vs Junior 4–1 May 28
W vs Chapecoense-sc 1–0 May 31
W @ Coritiba 3–1 Jul 22
Atletico-MG WLWWD
W vs Cienciano 2–0 May 21
L @ Corinthians 0–1 May 24
W vs Puerto Cabello 1–0 May 27
W @ Vasco DA Gama 1–0 May 31
D vs Bahia 1–1 Jul 21
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Palmeiras
Scored 2.2 avg
0 3 4 1 3
Conceded 0.6 avg
1 0 1 0 1
Atletico-MG
Scored 1.0 avg
2 0 1 1 1
Conceded 0.4 avg
0 1 0 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
6 Palmeiras
3 Draws
1 Atletico-MG
Jan 2026 Atletico-MG 2–2 Palmeiras Draw
Dec 2025 Atletico-MG 0–3 Palmeiras Palmeiras
Jul 2025 Palmeiras 3–2 Atletico-MG Palmeiras
Sep 2024 Palmeiras 2–1 Atletico-MG Palmeiras
Jun 2024 Atletico-MG 0–4 Palmeiras Palmeiras

Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Palmeiras 4-3-2-1
  • 1 Carlos Miguel G
  • 4 Agustín Giay D
  • 15 Gustavo Gómez D
  • 26 Murilo D
  • 22 Joaquín Piquerez D
  • 17 Marlon Freitas M
  • 32 Emiliano Martínez M
  • 8 Andreas Pereira M
  • 18 Mauricio M
  • 11 Jhon Arias M
  • 10 Paulinho F
Bench Marcelo Lomba, Kaique, Arthur Gabriel, Luis Benedetti, Larson, Erick Belé, Lucas Evangelista, Felipe Anderson, Vitor Roque, Riquelme Fillipi, Heittor

Ferreira Abel

Atletico-MG 4-2-3-1
  • 22 Everson G
  • 2 Natanael D
  • 4 Ruan D
  • 13 Lyanco D
  • 16 Renan Lodi D
  • 25 Tomás Pérez M
  • 8 Maycon M
  • 23 Ángelo Preciado M
  • 30 Victor Hugo M
  • 11 Bernard M
  • 9 Mateo Cassierra F
Bench Gabriel Delfim, Vitor Hugo, Kauã Pascini, Iván Román, Reinier, João Pedro Porto Lucrécio "Gutte", Alexsander, Igor Gomes, Mamady Cissé, Dudu, Alan Minda, Cauã Campos Soares

Eduardo Dominguez

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Palmeiras
  • OUT Allan Elias Red Card
  • OUT A. Barboza Yellow Cards
  • OUT Jefte Inactive
  • OUT Khellven Yellow Cards
  • OUT J. Lopez Inactive
  • OUT R. Sosa Yellow Cards
  • DOUBT A. Giay Inactive
  • OUT Allan Elias Red Card
  • OUT A. Barboza Yellow Cards
  • OUT Jefte Inactive
  • OUT Khellven Yellow Cards
  • OUT J. Lopez Inactive
  • OUT R. Sosa Yellow Cards
  • DOUBT A. Giay Inactive
Atletico-MG
  • OUT Cuello Inactive
  • OUT L. Duarte Injury
  • OUT A. Franco Personal Reasons
  • OUT Gustavo Scarpa Inactive
  • OUT Patrick Silva Knee Injury
  • OUT Cuello Inactive
  • OUT L. Duarte Injury
  • OUT A. Franco Personal Reasons
  • OUT Gustavo Scarpa Inactive
  • OUT Patrick Silva Knee Injury