Expert analysis
QPR Aim To Extend Strong Home Record Against Cardiff
QPR bring a recent form of WDW into this home fixture, giving them momentum after mixed results on the road. Cardiff have drawn their last three matches without securing a win, which limits their threat when traveling. In the last ten head-to-head games QPR have claimed five victories and three draws, showing they rarely lose to this opponent. QPR concede just one goal per game on average while Cardiff let in 1.8, suggesting the hosts can stay compact and hard to break down. Cardiff score well away from home yet post zero percent over 2.5 goals this season, pointing to low-scoring affairs where they struggle to find the net consistently. QPR also hold a better clean-sheet rate at 33 percent compared to Cardiff’s zero, adding defensive stability at Loftus Road.
Result
Our pick “QPR or Draw” at odds 1.28 won — final score 2–1.
Match timeline
- First half
-
R. Burrell
36'
- Second half
-
C. Willock
↓ C. Ashford
46'
-
K. Bielik
↓ C. Scanlon
46'
-
O. Tanner
47'
-
R. Burrell
assist R. Edwards
53'
-
J. Varane
↓ N. Madsen
71'
-
J. Clarke-Salter
↓ T. Lamptey
72'
-
K. Adamson
↓ A. S. Mbengue
72'
-
D. Cirkin
↓ G. Kamara
72'
-
P. Ng
assist O. Tanner
75'
-
P. Ng
77'
-
J. Colwill
↓ J. Moylan
80'
-
I. Chair
↓ A. Lloyd
81'
-
C. Robinson
↓ A. Robertson
89'
-
I. Davies
↓ O. Tanner
89'
This season
|
QPR |
Cardiff |
| Over 2.5 goals |
— |
— |
| Clean sheet |
33% |
0% |
| Failed to score |
33% |
0% |
| Scored per game |
1.7 |
1.7 |
| Conceded per game |
0.7 |
1.7 |
| Scored home / away |
0.0 / 2.5 |
1.5 / 2.0 |
Across 3 and 3 matches played this season.
Goals trend · last 5 matches
QPR
Conceded
1.0 avg
2
1
1
0
1
Cardiff
Conceded
1.8 avg
2
1
2
2
2
Head-to-head · last meetings
Jul 2025
QPR
2–2
Cardiff
Draw
Apr 2025
QPR
0–0
Cardiff
Draw
Nov 2024
Cardiff
0–2
QPR
QPR
Jan 2024
QPR
1–2
Cardiff
Cardiff
Aug 2023
Cardiff
1–2
QPR
QPR
Over 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 10 meetings.
Team news · injuries & suspensions
QPR
-
OUT
K. Dembele
Knee Injury
-
OUT
J. Obikwu
Inactive
-
DOUBT
B. Kemper
Ankle Injury
-
OUT
K. Dembele
Knee Injury
-
OUT
J. Obikwu
Inactive
-
DOUBT
B. Kemper
Ankle Injury
Cardiff
-
OUT
C. Chambers
Knee Injury
-
OUT
W. Fish
Hernia
-
OUT
D. Lawlor
Muscle Injury
-
OUT
C. Chambers
Knee Injury
-
OUT
W. Fish
Hernia
-
OUT
D. Lawlor
Muscle Injury