Primeira Liga WON 3–2
Sun, Oct 11 · 16:30
Rio Ave Home
VS
Nacional Away
Rio Ave vs Nacional — Primeira Liga
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Confidence Low
Odds 1.33 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

High Concessions Point to Goals Flowing

Rio Ave sit 16th while Nacional sit 15th, both with just four points from seven games. Rio Ave have taken one win and one draw in their last five outings, while Nacional have lost all five of theirs. Rio Ave concede 2.1 goals a game overall and 3.0 at home, and Nacional concede 2.1 a game on their travels. Nacional score only 0.6 goals a game, yet both sides have seen three or more goals in at least three of their seven league matches so far. In the last ten head-to-head meetings Rio Ave have won four and there have been four draws. The game could open up with both teams needing points and struggling to defend set pieces or transitions.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.5% win rate
Result
3–2 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.33 won — final score 3–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. N. Kader assist Chico Gonçalves 32'
  3. Sebastian Clemensen 39'
  4. Second half
  5. João Tomé Baptista 50'
  6. João Tomé Baptista 54'
  7. Diogo Bezerra assist Sebastian Clemensen 57'
  8. N. Kader 59'
  9. Roland Galcik ↓ Sebastian Clemensen 63'
  10. Francisco Petrasso ↓ Miguel Patricío 63'
  11. Fernando Nava Ortega ↓ Daniel de Melo Araujo Junior 68'
  12. Miguel Baeza ↓ Chiheb Labidi 68'
  13. Jalen Blesa Penalty 72'
  14. Jalen Blesa 73'
  15. Diogo Nascimento ↓ Diogo Bezerra 76'
  16. Simón García ↓ Malik Sellouki 76'
  17. Tamble Ulisses Folgado Monteiro ↓ Jalen Blesa 78'
  18. Allen Obando ↓ Matchoi Djaló 78'
  19. Joel da Silva ↓ N. Kader 81'
  20. Stavros Gavriel ↓ Song Min-kyu 81'
  21. Roland Galcik 90+1'
This season
Rio Ave Nacional
Over 2.5 goals 43% 57%
Clean sheet 14% 14%
Failed to score 71% 43%
Scored per game 0.7 1.0
Conceded per game 2.1 2.1
Scored home / away 1.0 / 0.5 1.3 / 0.7

Across 7 and 7 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
14 VIT Vitória SC 7 1 2 4 5
15 NAC Nacional ▲ 7 1 1 5 4
16 RIO Rio Ave ▲ 7 1 1 5 4
17 CAS Casa Pia 7 1 1 5 4
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Rio Ave WLLDL
W @ Estoril 2–0 Aug 22
L vs Sporting CP 0–4 Aug 28
L @ Santa Clara 0–4 Sep 6
D vs Estrela 3–3 Sep 14
L @ Alverca 0–1 Sep 19
Nacional LLLLL
L @ Vitória SC 0–1 Aug 23
L vs Estrela 2–3 Aug 30
L @ Sporting CP 0–2 Sep 5
L vs Alverca 1–3 Sep 12
L vs Famalicao 0–4 Sep 19
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Rio Ave
Scored 1.0 avg
2 0 0 3 0
Conceded 2.4 avg
0 4 4 3 1
Nacional
Scored 0.6 avg
0 2 0 1 0
Conceded 2.6 avg
1 3 2 3 4
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Rio Ave
4 Draws
2 Nacional
Jan 2026 Nacional 4–0 Rio Ave Nacional
Aug 2025 Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional Draw
May 2025 Nacional 3–3 Rio Ave Draw
Dec 2024 Rio Ave 2–1 Nacional Rio Ave
Jul 2024 Rio Ave 1–1 Nacional Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Rio Ave 4-2-3-1
  • 32 Vitor Hugo G
  • 20 João Tomé D
  • 54 G. Liavas D
  • 39 Gustavo Mancha D
  • 17 M. Vrousai D
  • 5 A. Ntoi M
  • 19 M. Sellouki M
  • 80 S. Clemmensen M
  • 79 M. Patricio M
  • 7 Diogo Bezerra M
  • 11 J. Blesa F
Bench Caike, R. Galčík, T. Medina, T. Nikitscher, F. Petrasso, Diogo Nascimento, A. Wenck, Ryan Guilherme, E. van der Gouw, D. Špikić, Tamble Monteiro, S. Garcia

Vasco Seabra

Nacional 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Renato Bellucci G
  • 88 Deivison D
  • 33 Francisco Gonçalves D
  • 38 Zé Vitor D
  • 21 W. Kokolo D
  • 15 C. Labidi M
  • 31 D. Dongmo M
  • 10 Daniel Júnior M
  • 20 Matchoi Djaló M
  • 12 Song Min-Kyu M
  • 29 N. Kader F
Bench Daniel Isai de la Cruz de la Cruz, Joel da Silva, João Gonçalves, A. Obando, F. Nava, Ivanildo Fernandes, M. Jensen, S. Gavriel, Miguel Baeza

Alexandre Santos