Serie A (Brazil) WON 2–1
Sun, Aug 30 · 01:00 · Estadio Do MorumBIS
Sao Paulo Home
VS
RB Bragantino Away
Sao Paulo vs RB Bragantino — Serie A
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate78%
This price needs80%
Expert analysis

Low Scoring Patterns Point to Few Goals Here

Sao Paulo have posted the league’s lowest rate of games exceeding two and a half goals this season. Their home matches produce an average of just 1.6 goals scored while conceding 1.2. Bragantino score even less on the road at one goal per game and keep clean sheets in over a third of fixtures. Past meetings between the sides have stayed under two and a half goals in six of the last ten. Both teams’ recent sequences contain long stretches without high output. These patterns combine to keep total goals modest at this venue.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.7% win rate
Result
2–1 WON

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.25 won — final score 2–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Luciano Penalty 14'
  3. A. Sant'Anna 45'
  4. G. Santana 45+4'
  5. Second half
  6. Fernando Santos ↓ Vinicinho 46'
  7. Fabinho ↓ Eric Ramires 46'
  8. Andre Silva ↓ G. Santana 55'
  9. H. Mosquera ↓ Lucas Barbosa 68'
  10. Gustavo Neves ↓ J. Herrera 68'
  11. Lucas Ramon ↓ Luciano 71'
  12. Pablo Maia ↓ Buta 71'
  13. Yuri Alves ↓ I. Pitta 78'
  14. Pedro Henrique 83'
  15. Andre Silva 84'
  16. Djhordney ↓ Danielzinho 84'
  17. Ferreira ↓ Artur 84'
  18. H. Mosquera 86'
  19. Fernando Santos assist H. Mosquera 90'
  20. Juninho Capixaba 90+5'
This season
Sao Paulo RB Bragantino
Over 2.5 goals 4% 17%
Clean sheet 17% 35%
Failed to score 22% 26%
Scored per game 1.2 1.2
Conceded per game 1.2 1.0
Scored home / away 1.6 / 0.8 1.4 / 1.0

Across 23 and 23 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
6 BAH Bahia 24 9 10 5 37
7 RBB RB Bragantino ▲ 23 10 5 8 35
8 COR Coritiba 24 9 7 8 34
9 ATL Atletico-MG 23 9 6 8 33
10 COR Corinthians 24 8 8 8 32
11 BOT Botafogo 23 8 6 9 30
12 VIT Vitoria 24 8 5 11 29
13 SAO Sao Paulo ▲ 23 7 6 10 27
14 SAN Santos 23 6 8 9 26
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Sao Paulo LDDWL
L @ Gremio 1–2 Aug 8
D @ Bolívar 1–1 Aug 12
D vs Coritiba 1–1 Aug 16
W vs Bolívar 3–1 Aug 19
L @ Chapecoense-sc 0–1 Aug 23
RB Bragantino LLDDW
L vs Corinthians 0–2 Aug 9
L vs Atletico-MG 0–1 Aug 12
D @ Atletico Paranaense 1–1 Aug 15
D @ Atletico-MG 2–2 Aug 19
W vs Gremio 1–0 Aug 23
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Sao Paulo
Scored 1.2 avg
1 1 1 3 0
Conceded 1.2 avg
2 1 1 1 1
RB Bragantino
Scored 0.8 avg
0 0 1 2 1
Conceded 1.2 avg
2 1 1 2 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
4 Sao Paulo
4 Draws
2 RB Bragantino
Mar 2026 RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Feb 2026 RB Bragantino 1–2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
Nov 2025 Sao Paulo 0–1 RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
Jul 2025 RB Bragantino 2–2 Sao Paulo Draw
Feb 2025 RB Bragantino 1–0 Sao Paulo RB Bragantino

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
  • 23 Rafael G
  • 22 Domingos Duarte D
  • 5 Robert Arboleda D
  • 35 Sabino D
  • 12 Iago Borduchi D
  • 94 Danielzinho M
  • 8 Marcos Antônio M
  • 20 Aurélio Buta M
  • 10 Luciano M
  • 37 Artur M
  • 43 Gustavo Santana F
Bench Carlos Coronel, Lucas Ramon, Luis Osorio, Wendell, Rafael Tolói, Pablo Maia, Ferreirinha, Tetê, Djhordney Ferreira, Cauly, André Silva, Jonathan Calleri

Junior Dorival

RB Bragantino 4-2-3-1
  • 18 Tiago Volpi G
  • 23 Agustin Sant Anna D
  • 14 Pedro Henrique D
  • 16 Gustavo Marques D
  • 29 Juninho Capixaba D
  • 7 Eric Ramires M
  • 20 Rodriguinho M
  • 32 José Herrera M
  • 21 Lucas Barbosa M
  • 17 Vinicinho M
  • 9 Isidro Pitta F
Bench Cleiton, Cauê Nascimento, Alix Vinicius, Guzmán Rodríguez, José Andrés Hurtado, Gabriel Girotto, Yuri Alves de Aquino, Gustavo Neves, Henry Mosquera, Fabinho, Matheus Fernandes, Fernando

Mancini Vagner

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Sao Paulo
  • OUT D. Bobadilla Inactive
  • OUT Lucas Moura Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Lucca Marques Jaw injury
  • OUT Victor Sa Inactive
  • DOUBT Jonathan Calleri Inactive
  • DOUBT R. Toloi Muscle Injury
  • OUT D. Bobadilla Inactive
  • OUT Lucas Moura Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Lucca Marques Jaw injury
  • OUT Victor Sa Inactive
  • DOUBT Jonathan Calleri Inactive
  • DOUBT R. Toloi Muscle Injury
RB Bragantino
  • OUT Davi Gomes Knee Injury
  • OUT Vanderlan Knee Injury
  • DOUBT Eduardo Sasha Inactive
  • DOUBT Fernando Santos Illness
  • OUT Davi Gomes Knee Injury
  • OUT Vanderlan Knee Injury
  • DOUBT Eduardo Sasha Inactive
  • DOUBT Fernando Santos Illness