Liga Profesional Argentina WON 1–0
Sun, Sep 6 · 02:15
Velez Sarsfield Home
VS
Estudiantes L.P. Away
Velez Sarsfield vs Estudiantes L.P. — Liga Profesional Argentina
Tipster's pick Velez Sarsfield or Draw
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate73%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Velez Sarsfield Rely on Home Consistency Against Estudiantes

Velez Sarsfield enter this match with a run of results that includes multiple wins and draws in succession. Their home scoring average sits at one goal per game while they limit opponents to the same number on average. Estudiantes L.P. show a lower output when playing away from home and have collected several defeats in their latest fixtures. Past meetings favor Velez with five victories and two draws across the last ten encounters. Both sides keep games tight with low percentages of matches exceeding two and a half goals. Velez defensive record at home combined with Estudiantes reduced away threat points toward a result that avoids an away win.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 72.6% win rate
Result
1–0 WON

Our pick “Velez Sarsfield or Draw” at odds 1.28 won — final score 1–0.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Thiago Silvero 25'
  3. Alexis Castro 33'
  4. Ronaldo Martinez assist Thiago Silvero 40'
  5. Lucas Piovi ↓ Gabriel Neves 45'
  6. Joaquín Correa ↓ Brian Aguirre 45'
  7. Tiago Tomas Palacios 45+1'
  8. Second half
  9. Edwuin Cetre 47'
  10. Lucas Piovi 56'
  11. Manuel Lanzini ↓ Juan Cruz Policella 65'
  12. Joaquín Tobio Burgos ↓ Edwuin Cetre 65'
  13. Guido Carrillo ↓ Adolfo Gaich 65'
  14. Luca Feler ↓ Lucas Robertone 72'
  15. Matías Pellegrini 73'
  16. Thiago Aguirre ↓ Ronaldo Martinez 73'
  17. Santiago Núñez ↓ Leandro Gonzalez Pirez 77'
  18. Matias Arias ↓ Matías Pellegrini 90'
  19. Joaquín Correa 90+5'
This season
Velez Sarsfield Estudiantes L.P.
Over 2.5 goals 4% 13%
Clean sheet 38% 50%
Failed to score 17% 50%
Scored per game 1.2 1.1
Conceded per game 0.8 0.6
Scored home / away 1.0 / 1.3 1.4 / 0.7

Across 24 and 24 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
3 DEF Defensa Y Justicia 7 4 2 1 14
4 VEL Velez Sarsfield ▲ 7 3 4 0 13
5 NEW Newells Old Boys 7 3 2 2 11
6 UNI Union Santa Fe 7 3 1 3 10
7 IND Independiente 7 3 1 3 10
8 BOC Boca Juniors 7 2 4 1 10
9 DEP Deportivo Riestra 8 2 3 3 9
10 PLA Platense 8 2 3 3 9
11 EST Estudiantes L.P. ▲ 7 2 1 4 7
12 LAN Lanus 7 2 1 4 7
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Velez Sarsfield DDDDD
D @ Boca Juniors 1–1 Aug 8
D vs Defensa Y Justicia 1–1 Aug 17
D @ River Plate 2–2 Aug 23
D @ Deportivo Riestra 1–1 Aug 29
D vs Boca Juniors 0–0 Sep 3
Estudiantes L.P. WWLWD
W vs Gimnasia L.P. 4–0 Aug 15
W @ U. Catolica 3–0 Aug 19
L @ Sarmiento Junin 0–2 Aug 23
W vs Barracas Central 3–1 Aug 27
D vs Newells Old Boys 0–0 Aug 31
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Velez Sarsfield
Scored 1.0 avg
1 1 2 1 0
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 1 2 1 0
Estudiantes L.P.
Scored 2.0 avg
4 3 0 3 0
Conceded 0.6 avg
0 0 2 1 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Velez Sarsfield
2 Draws
3 Estudiantes L.P.
Mar 2026 Estudiantes L.P. 0–1 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
Jul 2025 Estudiantes L.P. 0–2 Velez Sarsfield Velez Sarsfield
Dec 2024 Velez Sarsfield 0–3 Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
Sep 2024 Velez Sarsfield 2–0 Estudiantes L.P. Velez Sarsfield
May 2024 Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Velez Sarsfield Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Velez Sarsfield 4-2-3-1
  • 1 T. Marchiori G
  • 4 J. García D
  • 32 Thiago Silveor D
  • 2 E. Mammana D
  • 3 Elías Gómez D
  • 29 R. Aliendro M
  • 8 L. Robertone M
  • 11 M. Pellegrini M
  • 37 J. Policella M
  • 18 S. Escobar M
  • 77 R. Martínez F
Bench T. Aguirre, A. Verón, F. Sanguinetti, L. Piola, A. Pereyra, L. Magallán, M. Lanzini, D. Godoy, Luca Feler, L. Cristaldo, C. Baeza, M. Arias

Guillermo Barros Schelotto