Serie A (Brazil) MISSED 2–3
Tue, Aug 25 · 01:00 · Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos
Botafogo Home
VS
Atletico Paranaense Away
Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A
Tipster's pick Under 3.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.28 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate73%
This price needs78%
Expert analysis

Defensive Focus Points to Few Goals for Botafogo and Atletico

Botafogo have displayed inconsistency in their attacking output across recent fixtures. Atletico Paranaense carry a reliable defensive approach particularly when playing away. Past meetings between the two clubs have tended toward controlled and low-event games. Both sides favor structured play that reduces open chances in league matches. Botafogo face several absences that weaken their forward options. Atletico Paranaense continue to emphasize clean sheets and midfield control. These patterns combine to favor a match with limited total goals.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73% win rate
Result
2–3 MISSED

Our pick “Under 3.5 Goals” at odds 1.28 didn’t land — final score 2–3.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Joao Cruz 11'
  3. K. Viveros assist Dantas 13'
  4. Kauan Toledo 35'
  5. Second half
  6. Junior Santos ↓ Kauan Toledo 46'
  7. K. A. Calderon Vargas ↓ Leozinho 46'
  8. J. Portilla ↓ Luiz Gustavo 46'
  9. Dudu Kogitzki ↓ Joao Cruz 61'
  10. K. Barria ↓ C. Medina 63'
  11. Huguinho ↓ Allan 63'
  12. Edenilson 68'
  13. S. Rodriguez ↓ Edenilson 72'
  14. Dantas 77'
  15. K. Viveros assist K. A. Calderon Vargas 78'
  16. Matheus Martins ↓ A. Montoro 80'
  17. Renan Peixoto ↓ K. Viveros 85'
  18. S. Rodriguez 85'
  19. K. Barria assist Danilo Pereira 90+2'
This season
Botafogo Atletico Paranaense
Over 2.5 goals 23% 9%
Clean sheet 14% 35%
Failed to score 18% 26%
Scored per game 1.6 1.3
Conceded per game 1.5 0.9
Scored home / away 1.8 / 1.4 1.7 / 1.0

Across 22 and 23 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 FLA Flamengo 22 13 6 3 45
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense ▲ 23 12 5 6 41
4 FLU Fluminense 23 10 8 5 38
5 CRU Cruzeiro 23 10 6 7 36
6 BAH Bahia 23 8 10 5 34
7 RBB RB Bragantino 22 9 5 8 32
8 ATL Atletico-MG 22 9 5 8 32
9 COR Corinthians 23 8 8 7 32
10 COR Coritiba 23 8 7 8 31
11 BOT Botafogo ▲ 22 8 6 8 30
12 VIT Vitoria 23 8 5 10 29
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Botafogo DLLW
D vs Fluminense 1–1 Aug 9
L @ Cienciano 1–6 Aug 14
L @ Vitoria 0–1 Aug 16
W vs Cienciano 1–0 Aug 21
Atletico Paranaense DWLWD
D @ Corinthians 0–0 Jul 30
W vs Vitoria 2–0 Aug 4
L @ Vitoria 0–4 Aug 6
W @ Santos 2–0 Aug 9
D vs RB Bragantino 1–1 Aug 15
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Botafogo
Scored 0.8 avg
1 1 0 1
Conceded 2.0 avg
1 6 1 0
Atletico Paranaense
Scored 1.0 avg
0 2 0 2 1
Conceded 1.0 avg
0 0 4 0 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
3 Botafogo
2 Draws
5 Atletico Paranaense
Mar 2026 Atletico Paranaense 4–1 Botafogo Atletico Paranaense
Oct 2024 Atletico Paranaense 0–1 Botafogo Botafogo
Jun 2024 Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Paranaense Draw
Oct 2023 Botafogo 1–1 Atletico Paranaense Draw
Jun 2023 Atletico Paranaense 1–0 Botafogo Atletico Paranaense

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Botafogo 4-4-2
  • 12 Gabriel Batista G
  • 2 Vitinho D
  • 5 Nahuel Ferraresi D
  • 34 Gabriel Justino D
  • 13 Alex Telles D
  • 88 Edenilson M
  • 25 Allan M
  • 6 Cristian Medina M
  • 10 Álvaro Montoro M
  • 9 Danilo F
  • 59 Kauan Toledo F
Bench Cléber Lucas, Rhyan Carvalho, Kadu Santos, Mateo Ponte, Marçal, Huguinho, Lucas Villalba, Domingos Andrade, Santiago Rodríguez, Kadir Barría, Matheus Martins, Júnior Santos

Franclim Carvalho

Atletico Paranaense 3-4-3
  • 23 Santos G
  • 29 Gastón Benavídez D
  • 33 Juan Felipe Aguirre D
  • 4 Arthur Dias D
  • 25 Dantas M
  • 16 Jádson M
  • 14 Luiz Gustavo M
  • 7 Steven Mendoza M
  • 21 Leozinho F
  • 9 Kevin Viveros F
  • 8 João Cruz F
Bench Mycael, Gilberto Junior, Léo, Carlos Terán, Kerwin Vargas, Chiqueti, Dudu, Felipinho, Bruno Zapelli, Juan Portilla, Jorge Rivaldo, Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno

Joao Correia

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Botafogo
  • OUT Arthur Cabral Red Card
  • OUT Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury
  • OUT Warleson Injury
  • DOUBT J. Barrera Injury
  • DOUBT Paulinho Injury
  • OUT Arthur Cabral Red Card
  • OUT Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury
  • OUT Warleson Injury
  • DOUBT J. Barrera Injury
  • DOUBT Paulinho Injury
Atletico Paranaense
  • OUT Claudinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Esquivel Ankle Injury
  • OUT Gilberto Ankle Injury
  • OUT Leo Derik Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT Dudu Kogitzki Injury
  • DOUBT C. Teran Injury
  • OUT Claudinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT L. Esquivel Ankle Injury
  • OUT Gilberto Ankle Injury
  • OUT Leo Derik Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT Dudu Kogitzki Injury
  • DOUBT C. Teran Injury