Serie A (Brazil) WON 3–1
Sun, Sep 6 · 21:00
Cruzeiro Home
VS
Atletico Paranaense Away
Cruzeiro vs Atletico Paranaense — Serie A
Tipster's pick Over 1.5 Goals
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.33 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate73%
This price needs75%
Expert analysis

Attacks and Defenses Point to Multiple Goals

Cruzeiro average 1.4 goals scored and conceded across their matches, which often produces enough action to clear the line. Atletico Paranaense create 1.5 goals per game on average and still ship one despite a better defensive record. Their away scoring drops to 1.2 but the hosts allow 1.4 at home, so the combined output stays steady. Head-to-head results show Atletico with four wins and four draws in the last ten meetings, yet the pattern of goals remains consistent between the sides. Recent form lists for both teams include sequences with regular scoring at both ends rather than low-event draws. Absences on each roster remove some creative options but leave enough attacking personnel to maintain the expected flow. These elements together suggest the game will feature at least a couple of goals.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
3–1 WON

Our pick “Over 1.5 Goals” at odds 1.33 won — final score 3–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Matheus Pereira assist Gerson 30'
  3. Gabriel Rojas 33'
  4. Lucas Villalba ↓ Gabriel Rojas 45'
  5. Lucas Esquivel ↓ Arthur Dias 45'
  6. Juan Portilla ↓ Jadson Alves dos Santos 45'
  7. João Victor Machado Cruz 45+1'
  8. Matheus Pereira Penalty missed 45+8'
  9. Second half
  10. Juan Aguirre 62'
  11. Fabrício Bruno 64'
  12. Kerwin Vargas ↓ Leonardo Caetano Silva 65'
  13. Bruno Zapelli ↓ João Victor Machado Cruz 65'
  14. Wesley Gassova Ribeiro Teixeira ↓ Keny arroyo 70'
  15. Lucas Romer assist Matheus Pereira 71'
  16. Mycael Pontes Moreira 79'
  17. Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno ↓ Kevin Viveros 81'
  18. Kaio Jorge Penalty 82'
  19. Joao Costa ↓ Gerson 87'
  20. Luciano Rodríguez ↓ Kaio Jorge 90+2'
  21. Zé Lucas ↓ Matheus Henrique 90+2'
This season
Cruzeiro Atletico Paranaense
Over 2.5 goals 12% 16%
Clean sheet 20% 32%
Failed to score 16% 24%
Scored per game 1.4 1.5
Conceded per game 1.4 1.0
Scored home / away 1.6 / 1.2 1.8 / 1.2

Across 25 and 25 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
2 FLA Flamengo 25 15 6 4 51
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense 25 13 6 6 45
4 FLU Fluminense 26 12 9 5 45
5 BAH Bahia 26 11 10 5 43
6 CRU Cruzeiro 25 11 6 8 39
7 COR Coritiba 25 10 7 8 37
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Cruzeiro LWDLL
L @ Flamengo 1–2 Aug 20
W vs Flamengo 2–1 Aug 22
D vs Atletico-MG 1–1 Aug 26
L @ Vasco DA Gama 1–3 Aug 30
L @ Atletico-MG 1–2 Sep 2
Atletico Paranaense LWDWD
L @ Vitoria 0–4 Aug 6
W @ Santos 2–0 Aug 9
D vs RB Bragantino 1–1 Aug 15
W @ Botafogo 3–2 Aug 24
D vs Fluminense 3–3 Aug 30
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Cruzeiro
Scored 1.2 avg
1 2 1 1 1
Conceded 1.8 avg
2 1 1 3 2
Atletico Paranaense
Scored 1.8 avg
0 2 1 3 3
Conceded 2.0 avg
4 0 1 2 3
Head-to-head · last meetings
2 Cruzeiro
4 Draws
4 Atletico Paranaense
Mar 2026 Atletico Paranaense 2–1 Cruzeiro Atletico Paranaense
Oct 2024 Atletico Paranaense 3–0 Cruzeiro Atletico Paranaense
Jun 2024 Cruzeiro 2–0 Atletico Paranaense Cruzeiro
Nov 2023 Cruzeiro 1–1 Atletico Paranaense Draw
Jul 2023 Atletico Paranaense 3–3 Cruzeiro Draw

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1
  • 81 Otávio Eleodoro Rezende Costa G
  • 23 Fágner D
  • 15 Fabrício Bruno D
  • 43 João Marcelo D
  • 27 G. Rojas D
  • 29 L. Romero M
  • 8 Gerson M
  • 99 K. Arroyo M
  • 10 Matheus Pereira M
  • 7 Matheus Henrique M
  • 19 Kaio Jorge F
Bench Cássio, Zé Lucas, William, Wesley Gassova, L. Villalba, L. Rodríguez, Lucas Silva, Bruno Rodrigues, João Gabriel e Costa Cesco, Felipe Morais, Kauã Moraes, Kenji

Artur Jorge

Atletico Paranaense 3-4-2-1
  • 1 Mycael G
  • 25 Dantas D
  • 33 J. Aguirre D
  • 4 Arthur Dias D
  • 12 Gilberto M
  • 16 Jádson M
  • 14 Luiz Gustavo M
  • 7 S. Mendoza M
  • 21 Leozinho M
  • 8 João Cruz M
  • 9 K. Viveros F
Bench B. Zapelli, K. Vargas, Dudu, C. Terán, Santos, Jorge Luis Rivaldo Pinto, Renan, J. Portilla, Léo, Gilberto, Felipinho, L. Esquivel

Odair Hellmann

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Cruzeiro
  • OUT Gabriel Pec Broken Leg
  • OUT Jonathan Jesus Injury
  • OUT L. Sinisterra Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Bruno Rodrigues Inactive
  • OUT Gabriel Pec Broken Leg
  • OUT Jonathan Jesus Injury
  • OUT L. Sinisterra Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Bruno Rodrigues Inactive
Atletico Paranaense
  • OUT G. Benavidez Yellow Cards
  • OUT Claudinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT Leo Derik Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT L. Esquivel Ankle Injury
  • OUT G. Benavidez Yellow Cards
  • OUT Claudinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT Leo Derik Thigh Injury
  • DOUBT L. Esquivel Ankle Injury