Serie A (Brazil) WON 1–0
Tue, Sep 8 · 01:00 · Barradao
Vitoria Home
VS
Gremio Away
Vitoria vs Gremio — Serie A
Tipster's pick Vitoria or Draw
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.30 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate77%
This price needs77%
Expert analysis

Vitoria Home Edge Meets Gremio Road Woes

Vitoria has collected several home wins in their recent sequence and averages 1.30 goals per game at their own ground. Gremio manages only 0.50 goals per away match and has lost several road fixtures lately. In the last ten head-to-head meetings four ended level, showing Vitoria can hold firm against this opponent. Vitoria’s defensive record at home includes multiple clean sheets this season while Gremio’s attack lacks punch on the road. Midfield absences for Gremio further reduce their ability to control games away from home. These patterns together point toward Vitoria staying unbeaten.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–0 WON

Our pick “Vitoria or Draw” at odds 1.30 won — final score 1–0.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Pedro Gabriel 36'
  3. Cristian Pavón 38'
  4. Caio Paulista ↓ Pedro Gabriel 45'
  5. Second half
  6. Erick 48'
  7. Caio Paulista 48'
  8. Caíque Gonçalves 55'
  9. Erick Noriega 59'
  10. Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira assist Matheusinho 63'
  11. Danilo Barbosa da Silva ↓ Erick Noriega 69'
  12. Juan Nardoni ↓ Cristian Pavón 69'
  13. José Enamorado ↓ Mathias Villasanti 69'
  14. Marinho ↓ Erick 72'
  15. Martin Braithwaite ↓ Carlos Vinícius 78'
  16. Gustavo Martins 79'
  17. Edenilson ↓ Caíque Gonçalves 81'
  18. Fabri ↓ Diego Tarzia 82'
  19. Tomás Pochettino ↓ Matheuzinho 82'
  20. Renato Kayzer ↓ Carlos Renê de Sousa Ferreira 90'
This season
Vitoria Gremio
Over 2.5 goals 4% 13%
Clean sheet 36% 21%
Failed to score 36% 33%
Scored per game 1.0 1.1
Conceded per game 1.5 1.3
Scored home / away 1.3 / 0.6 1.8 / 0.5

Across 25 and 24 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
12 BOT Botafogo 24 8 6 10 30
13 VIT Vitoria ▲ 25 8 5 12 29
14 SAN Santos 24 7 8 9 29
15 GRE Gremio ▲ 24 7 7 10 28
16 MIR Mirassol 25 6 7 12 25
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Vitoria WLLLL
W vs Botafogo 1–0 Aug 16
L vs Bahia 0–2 Aug 23
L @ Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Aug 27
L @ Atletico-MG 1–2 Aug 29
L vs Vasco DA Gama 0–2 Sep 3
Gremio LLDWW
L @ Atletico-MG 0–3 Aug 16
L @ RB Bragantino 0–1 Aug 23
D @ Internacional 0–0 Aug 27
W vs Chapecoense-sc 3–1 Aug 30
W vs Internacional 3–1 Sep 3
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Vitoria
Scored 0.4 avg
1 0 0 1 0
Conceded 1.4 avg
0 2 1 2 2
Gremio
Scored 1.2 avg
0 0 0 3 3
Conceded 1.2 avg
3 1 0 1 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
0 Vitoria
4 Draws
6 Gremio
Mar 2026 Gremio 2–0 Vitoria Gremio
Sep 2025 Gremio 3–1 Vitoria Gremio
Apr 2025 Vitoria 1–1 Gremio Draw
Dec 2024 Vitoria 1–1 Gremio Draw
Jul 2024 Gremio 2–0 Vitoria Gremio

Over 2.5 goals in 3 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Vitoria 4-2-3-1
  • 1 Lucas Arcanjo G
  • 98 Mateusinho D
  • 2 E. Brítez D
  • 36 Luan Cândido D
  • 83 Jamerson D
  • 88 Zé Vitor M
  • 95 Caíque M
  • 33 Erick M
  • 10 Matheuzinho M
  • 12 D. Tarzia M
  • 91 Rene F
Bench Edenilson, Alex Bruno, Fabiano, Fabrício, Marinho, Osvaldo, T. Pochettino, Renato Kayzer, Wendell Sacramento, Yuri Sena, Kauan, Wanderson Estrela Oliveira

Jair Ventura

Gremio 4-1-4-1
  • 1 Weverton G
  • 27 Diego Caito D
  • 6 Gustavo Martins D
  • 82 Wallace D
  • 54 Pedro Gabriel D
  • 8 E. Noriega M
  • 7 C. Pavón M
  • 20 M. Villasanti M
  • 10 F. Krovinović M
  • 11 Tetê M
  • 95 Carlos Vinícius F
Bench Wagner Leonardo, Riquelme Freitas, J. Nardoni, Matheus Nascimento, João Pedro, Gabriel Grando, F. Balbuena, J. Enamorado, Danilo Barbosa, Caio Paulista, Bernardo Zortea, M. Braithwaite

Luís Castro

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Vitoria
  • OUT Anderson Knee Injury
  • OUT Caca Suspended
  • OUT Camutanga Broken Leg
  • OUT Dudu Back Injury
  • OUT Edu Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Emmanuel Martinez Inactive
  • OUT Nathan Mendes Knee Injury
  • OUT Ramon Injury
  • OUT R. Ramos Knee Injury
  • OUT Riccieli Calf Injury
  • DOUBT Baralhas Inactive
  • DOUBT Matheuzinho Inactive
  • OUT Anderson Knee Injury
  • OUT Caca Suspended
  • OUT Camutanga Broken Leg
  • OUT Dudu Back Injury
  • OUT Edu Achilles Tendon Injury
  • OUT Emmanuel Martinez Inactive
  • OUT Nathan Mendes Knee Injury
  • OUT Ramon Injury
  • OUT R. Ramos Knee Injury
  • OUT Riccieli Calf Injury
  • DOUBT Baralhas Inactive
  • DOUBT Matheuzinho Inactive
Gremio
  • OUT F. Amuzu Inactive
  • OUT J. Cabral Muscle Injury
  • OUT Dodi Knee Injury
  • OUT Marlon Yellow Cards
  • OUT F. Amuzu Inactive
  • OUT J. Cabral Muscle Injury
  • OUT Dodi Knee Injury
  • OUT Marlon Yellow Cards