Serie A (Brazil) MISSED 1–2
Sat, Sep 12 · 21:00
Gremio Home
VS
Vasco DA Gama Away
Gremio vs Vasco DA Gama — Serie A
Tipster's pick Gremio or Draw
Value Fair · 2/5
Odds 1.40 Odds via Bet365
Our estimate72%
This price needs71%
Expert analysis

Gremio Set to Control Home Clash With Vasco

Gremio show stronger attacking numbers when playing at home this season. Vasco struggle to score on the road and have managed just 0.90 goals per away game. Head to head results give Gremio the upper hand with five wins in the last ten meetings. Both sides post low rates for games going over 2.5 goals so far. Vasco carry several key injuries that weaken their back line and midfield options. Gremio’s mixed form still includes enough positive results to limit away threats effectively. These factors point to a result that avoids a Vasco victory.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 73.2% win rate
Result
1–2 MISSED

Our pick “Gremio or Draw” at odds 1.40 didn’t land — final score 1–2.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Pedro Gabriel 7'
  3. Tchê Tchê 26'
  4. Wallace Gomes da Silva Santos 32'
  5. Mathias Villasanti 39'
  6. Cuiabano 45+2'
  7. Second half
  8. Robert Renan 53'
  9. Bruno Duarte Da Silva ↓ Adson 55'
  10. Jose Luis Rodriguez ↓ Paulo Henrique 55'
  11. Diego Caito Barcellos Oliveira dos Santos 58'
  12. Juan Nardoni ↓ Jovane Cabral 61'
  13. José Enamorado ↓ Tetê 71'
  14. Jair ↓ Carlos Cuesta 73'
  15. Alan Lescano ↓ Tchê Tchê 73'
  16. Thiago Mendes 76'
  17. Lucas Piton ↓ Cuiabano 78'
  18. Facundo Colidio assist Bruno Duarte Da Silva 80'
  19. Matheus Nascimento ↓ Walter Kannemann 86'
This season
Gremio Vasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goals 12% 12%
Clean sheet 20% 8%
Failed to score 36% 32%
Scored per game 1.1 1.1
Conceded per game 1.3 1.6
Scored home / away 1.8 / 0.5 1.2 / 0.9

Across 25 and 25 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
14 BOT Botafogo 25 8 7 10 31
15 GRE Gremio 25 7 7 11 28
16 MIR Mirassol 26 7 7 12 28
17 VAS Vasco DA Gama 25 6 7 12 25
18 INT Internacional 26 5 10 11 25
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Gremio LDWWL
L @ RB Bragantino 0–1 Aug 23
D @ Internacional 0–0 Aug 27
W vs Chapecoense-sc 3–1 Aug 30
W vs Internacional 3–1 Sep 3
L @ Vitoria 0–1 Sep 7
Vasco DA Gama WWWLD
W vs Vitoria 1–0 Aug 27
W vs Cruzeiro 3–1 Aug 30
W @ Vitoria 2–0 Sep 3
L @ Fluminense 0–1 Sep 6
D @ Santa Fe 0–0 Sep 8
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Gremio
Scored 1.2 avg
0 0 3 3 0
Conceded 0.8 avg
1 0 1 1 1
Vasco DA Gama
Scored 1.2 avg
1 3 2 0 0
Conceded 0.4 avg
0 1 0 1 0
Head-to-head · last meetings
5 Gremio
2 Draws
3 Vasco DA Gama
Mar 2026 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Gremio Vasco DA Gama
Nov 2025 Gremio 2–0 Vasco DA Gama Gremio
Jul 2025 Vasco DA Gama 1–1 Gremio Draw
Jul 2024 Gremio 1–0 Vasco DA Gama Gremio
Apr 2024 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Gremio Vasco DA Gama

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Gremio 4-1-4-1
  • 1 Weverton G
  • 27 Diego Caito D
  • 82 Wallace D
  • 4 W. Kannemann D
  • 54 Pedro Gabriel D
  • 8 E. Noriega M
  • 11 Tetê M
  • 20 M. Villasanti M
  • 10 F. Krovinović M
  • 77 Jovane Cabral M
  • 95 Carlos Vinícius F
Bench Matheus Nascimento, J. Nardoni, Marcos Rocha, Bernardo Zortea, M. Braithwaite, Wagner Leonardo, Danilo Barbosa, J. Enamorado, Riquelme Freitas, Gabriel Grando, Gustavo Martins, João Pedro

Luís Castro

Vasco DA Gama 4-1-4-1
  • 1 Léo Jardim G
  • 96 Paulo Henrique D
  • 46 C. Cuesta D
  • 30 Robert Renan D
  • 66 Cuiabano D
  • 5 S. Sosa M
  • 28 Adson M
  • 3 Tchê Tchê M
  • 23 Thiago Mendes M
  • 11 A. Gómez M
  • 9 F. Colidio F
Bench Jair, Nuno Moreira, Lucas Piton, A. Lescano, M. Hinestroza, Bruno Duarte, David, Daniel Fuzato, Cauan Barros, J. Rodríguez, Ramon Rique, Lucas Freitas

Pedro Emanuel

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Gremio
  • OUT Dodi Knee Injury
  • OUT Marlon Inactive
  • OUT C. Pavon Yellow Cards
  • DOUBT F. Amuzu Inactive
  • OUT Dodi Knee Injury
  • OUT Marlon Inactive
  • OUT C. Pavon Yellow Cards
  • DOUBT F. Amuzu Inactive
Vasco DA Gama
  • OUT Brenner Knee Injury
  • OUT Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
  • OUT Brenner Knee Injury
  • OUT Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury