Gremio Form Suggests Away Point at Botafogo

Expert analysis

COR Corinthians

BOT Botafogo ▲

MIR Mirassol

GRE Gremio ▲

VAS Vasco DA Gama

Botafogo enters this fixture after a run of results that includes several losses and draws in their last dozen matches. Gremio has shown better defensive organization on the road, limiting opponents while struggling to score away themselves. Historical meetings favor Gremio with five wins in the past ten encounters compared to Botafogo’s three. Both sides post low percentages for games exceeding two and a half goals this season, pointing toward a tighter contest. Botafogo concedes more on average than Gremio does, which could allow the visitors to stay compact and threaten on the break. Recent goal trends show Gremio averaging higher scoring overall but dropping sharply in away fixtures, aligning with a possible stalemate outcome.

Analysis by AcePredictor 68% win rate

Result

3–2 MISSED

Our pick “Draw or Gremio” at odds 1.95 didn’t land — final score 3–2.

Match timeline

First half
Danilo Santos assist A. Montoro 30'
J. Cabral 36'
Second half
G. Justino ↓ L. Monzon 46'
Danilo Pereira ↓ Edenilson 46'
A. Montoro assist Vitinho 52'
J. Enamorado ↓ J. Cabral 60'
M. Braithwaite ↓ F. Krovinovic 66'
Marcal ↓ Junior Santos 73'
Tete ↓ C. Pavon 78'
Matheus Nascimento ↓ E. Noriega 78'
Danilo Santos assist A. Montoro 79'
Allan ↓ A. Montoro 85'
Tiquinho Soares ↓ Arthur Cabral 86'
Gustavo Martins assist Tete 88'

This season

	Botafogo	Gremio
Over 2.5 goals	65%	46%
Clean sheet	15%	19%
Failed to score	23%	35%
Scored per game	1.5	1.1
Conceded per game	1.6	1.3
Scored home / away	1.6 / 1.3	1.7 / 0.5

Across 26 and 26 matches played this season.

League table position

Recent form · last 5 finished matches

Botafogo WLLDD

W vs Cienciano 1–0 Aug 21

L vs Atletico Paranaense 2–3 Aug 24

L @ Flamengo 0–3 Aug 30

D vs Palmeiras 0–0 Sep 6

D vs RB Bragantino 1–1 Sep 12

Gremio DWWLL

D @ Internacional 0–0 Aug 27

W vs Chapecoense-sc 3–1 Aug 30

W vs Internacional 3–1 Sep 3

L @ Vitoria 0–1 Sep 7

L vs Vasco DA Gama 1–2 Sep 12

Goals trend · last 5 matches

Botafogo

Scored 0.8 avg

1 2 0 0 1

Conceded 1.4 avg

0 3 3 0 1

Gremio

Scored 1.4 avg

0 3 3 0 1

Conceded 1.0 avg

0 1 1 1 2

Head-to-head · last meetings

3 Botafogo

2 Draws

5 Gremio

Feb 2026 Gremio 5–3 Botafogo Gremio

Nov 2025 Botafogo 3–2 Gremio Botafogo

Sep 2025 Gremio 1–1 Botafogo Draw

Sep 2024 Botafogo 0–0 Gremio Draw

Jun 2024 Gremio 1–2 Botafogo Botafogo

Over 2.5 goals in 7 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups

Botafogo 4-2-3-1

12 Gabriel Batista G
2 Vitinho D
3 Arthur Chaves D
33 L. Monzón D
13 Alex Telles D
75 Huguinho M
8 Danilo Santos M
88 Edenílson M
7 Júnior Santos M
10 Álvaro Montoro M
19 Arthur Cabral F

Bench Allan, Domingos Andrade, Danilo, G. Justino, Kadu Santos, Kauan Toledo, Marçal, Paulinho, Tiquinho Soares, L. Villalba, Warleson, Lucas Emanuel

Tite

Gremio 4-1-4-1

1 Weverton G
27 Diego Caito D
82 Wallace D
4 W. Kannemann D
38 Caio Paulista D
8 E. Noriega M
7 C. Pavón M
20 M. Villasanti M
10 F. Krovinović M
77 Jovane Cabral M
95 Carlos Vinícius F

Bench Marcos Rocha, João Pedro, Gustavo Martins, Gabriel Grando, J. Enamorado, Danilo Barbosa, M. Braithwaite, Matheus Nascimento, J. Nardoni, Tetê, Wagner Leonardo, Gabriel Otávio Menegon

Renato Gaúcho

Team news · injuries & suspensions

Botafogo

OUT J. Barrera Injury
OUT K. Barria Yellow Cards
OUT N. Ferraresi Yellow Cards
OUT Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury
DOUBT Matheus Martins Inactive
OUT J. Barrera Injury
OUT K. Barria Yellow Cards
OUT N. Ferraresi Yellow Cards
OUT Kaio Pantaleao Knee Injury
DOUBT Matheus Martins Inactive

Gremio

OUT F. Amuzu Inactive
OUT Dodi Knee Injury
OUT Marlon Inactive
OUT Pedro Gabriel Yellow Cards
OUT F. Amuzu Inactive
OUT Dodi Knee Injury
OUT Marlon Inactive
OUT Pedro Gabriel Yellow Cards