Serie A (Brazil) WON 4–1
Sun, Aug 23 · 21:00 · Nubank Parque
Palmeiras Home
VS
Vasco DA Gama Away
Palmeiras vs Vasco DA Gama — Serie A
Tipster's pick Palmeiras or Vasco DA Gama
Confidence Medium
Odds 1.25 Odds via Bet365
Expert analysis

Palmeiras Home Edge Limits Draw Risk Against Vasco

Palmeiras recent sequence includes several wins that reflect their ability to control matches at home despite a couple of draws. Vasco da Gama’s form shows frequent losses and few clean sheets, making it harder for them to hold out for a point on the road. Head-to-head results favor Palmeiras heavily with only two draws across the last ten meetings. Both sides average over a goal per game but Vasco concedes more away from home while Palmeiras keeps a tighter defense overall. Injuries to Vasco attackers like Brenner further weaken their chance of forcing a stalemate. Palmeiras own form line features consistent scoring that pressures opponents into open play rather than defensive blocks. These patterns together point to one side claiming victory more often than a shared result.

AcePredictor Analysis by AcePredictor 68.1% win rate
Result
4–1 WON

Our pick “Palmeiras or Vasco DA Gama” at odds 1.25 won — final score 4–1.

Match timeline
  1. First half
  2. Marlon Freitas 9'
  3. A. Gomez 44'
  4. Second half
  5. Murilo ↓ A. Barboza 46'
  6. J. Lopez assist Allan Elias 47'
  7. Thiago Mendes 50'
  8. Vitor Roque Penalty 51'
  9. Mauricio assist Andreas Pereira 56'
  10. Ramon Rique ↓ Thiago Mendes 58'
  11. Riquelme Avellar ↓ Cuiabano 58'
  12. N. Moreira ↓ Adson 65'
  13. F. Colidio ↓ David 65'
  14. Felipe Anderson ↓ Allan Elias 71'
  15. J. Arias ↓ Vitor Roque 71'
  16. E. Martinez ↓ Marlon Freitas 71'
  17. M. Hinestroza ↓ A. Gomez 72'
  18. Khellven ↓ A. Giay 83'
  19. Robert Renan 83'
  20. J. Lopez assist J. Arias 89'
  21. F. Colidio 90+4'
This season
Palmeiras Vasco DA Gama
Over 2.5 goals 57% 55%
Clean sheet 39% 9%
Failed to score 9% 32%
Scored per game 1.7 1.0
Conceded per game 0.8 1.5
Scored home / away 1.5 / 1.9 1.1 / 1.0

Across 23 and 22 matches played this season.

League table position
# Team PWDLPts
1 PAL Palmeiras ▲ 23 14 6 3 48
2 FLA Flamengo 22 13 6 3 45
3 ATL Atletico Paranaense 23 12 5 6 41
4 FLU Fluminense 23 10 8 5 38
5 CRU Cruzeiro 23 10 6 7 36
6 BAH Bahia 23 8 10 5 34
7 RBB RB Bragantino 22 9 5 8 32
8 ATL Atletico-MG 22 9 5 8 32
9 COR Corinthians 23 8 8 7 32
10 COR Coritiba 23 8 7 8 31
11 BOT Botafogo 22 8 6 8 30
12 VIT Vitoria 23 8 5 10 29
13 SAO Sao Paulo 22 7 6 9 27
14 SAN Santos 22 6 7 9 25
15 GRE Gremio 22 6 7 9 25
16 INT Internacional 23 5 9 9 24
17 MIR Mirassol 22 6 5 11 23
18 REM Remo 23 5 8 10 23
19 VAS Vasco DA Gama ▲ 22 5 7 10 22
20 CHA Chapecoense-sc 22 1 8 13 11
Recent form · last 5 finished matches
Palmeiras LDDLW
L @ Fortaleza EC 2–3 Aug 6
D vs Internacional 0–0 Aug 9
D vs Cerro Porteno 1–1 Aug 12
L @ Fluminense 2–3 Aug 15
W @ Cerro Porteno 1–0 Aug 19
Vasco DA Gama WDDLW
W @ Fluminense 3–1 Aug 6
D @ Bahia 0–0 Aug 9
D vs Olimpia 0–0 Aug 13
L vs Santos 0–3 Aug 16
W @ Olimpia 4–1 Aug 20
Goals trend · last 5 matches
Palmeiras
Scored 1.2 avg
2 0 1 2 1
Conceded 1.4 avg
3 0 1 3 0
Vasco DA Gama
Scored 1.4 avg
3 0 0 0 4
Conceded 1.0 avg
1 0 0 3 1
Head-to-head · last meetings
7 Palmeiras
2 Draws
1 Vasco DA Gama
Mar 2026 Vasco DA Gama 2–1 Palmeiras Vasco DA Gama
Oct 2025 Palmeiras 3–0 Vasco DA Gama Palmeiras
May 2025 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Palmeiras Palmeiras
Sep 2024 Vasco DA Gama 0–1 Palmeiras Palmeiras
Jun 2024 Palmeiras 2–0 Vasco DA Gama Palmeiras

Over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 10 meetings.

Confirmed lineups
Palmeiras 3-4-2-1
  • 1 Carlos Miguel G
  • 15 Gustavo Gómez D
  • 4 Agustín Giay D
  • 2 Alexander Barboza D
  • 40 Allan M
  • 8 Andreas Pereira M
  • 17 Marlon Freitas M
  • 56 Arthur Gabriel M
  • 18 Mauricio F
  • 42 José Manuel López F
  • 9 Vitor Roque F
Bench Marcelo Lomba, Murilo, Khellven, Bruno Fuchs, Jhon Arias, Luis Pacheco, Erick Belé, Emiliano Martínez, Lucas Evangelista, Felipe Anderson, Heittor, Riquelme Fillipi

Ferreira Abel

Vasco DA Gama 4-3-3
  • 1 Léo Jardim G
  • 96 Paulo Henrique D
  • 46 Carlos Cuesta D
  • 30 Robert Renan D
  • 66 Cuiabano D
  • 5 Santiago Sosa M
  • 23 Thiago Mendes M
  • 3 Tchê Tchê M
  • 28 Adson F
  • 7 David F
  • 11 Andrés Gómez F
Bench Daniel Fuzato, Bruno André Azevedo Ribeiro, Riquelme Avellar, Lucas Freitas, Lucas Piton, Puma Rodríguez, Ramon Rique, Cauan Barros, Marino Hinestroza, Nuno Moreira, Facundo Colidio, Claudio Spinelli

Pedro Emanuel

Team news · injuries & suspensions
Palmeiras
  • OUT Jefte Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Piquerez Foot Injury
  • OUT R. Sosa Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Paulinho Muscle Injury
  • OUT Jefte Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Piquerez Foot Injury
  • OUT R. Sosa Muscle Injury
  • DOUBT Paulinho Muscle Injury
Vasco DA Gama
  • OUT Brenner Injury
  • OUT Jair Injury
  • OUT Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Rojas Inactive
  • OUT Brenner Injury
  • OUT Jair Injury
  • OUT Mateus Carvalho Knee Injury
  • OUT J. Rojas Inactive